MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68557d6ed80e38f9117f832c1bebe10bba49d6bb79b4492d50218a6e66b3ee46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Rangers, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36da…e646backed Rangers | 3c | 31,135$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.95 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Rangers | 47c | 27,158$12,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,697.54 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 20c | 12,360$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rangers | 31c | 11,759$3,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,625.22 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 30c | 11,217$3,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.53 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Rangers | 11c | 9,099$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 63c | 7,964$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.46 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Astros | 52c | 6,164$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.65 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Rangers | 47c | 5,766$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.14 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 56c | 5,168$2,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.04 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 46c | 5,138$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.32 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Astros | 51c | 4,949$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,437.75 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Astros | 52c | 4,260$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,044.79 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rangers | 48c | 4,196$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.62 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rangers | 31c | 3,825$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 47c | 3,806$1,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.69 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 47c | 3,378$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.74 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Astros | 52c | 3,364$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.38 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2345…1e3bbacked Astros | 54c | 2,977$1,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.49 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Astros | 53c | 2,890$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.43 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rangers | 47c | 2,813$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.79 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Astros | 74c | 2,035$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.75 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rangers | 36c | 2,000$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.92 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rangers | 34c | 1,854$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 48c | 1,670$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Rangers | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Rangers | 57c | 1,500$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.91 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Rangers | 49c | 1,486$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Astros | 51c | 1,411$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.35 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rangers | 9c | 1,403$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Rangers | 31c | 1,256$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.04 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 51c | 1,230$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.92 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rangers | 47c | 1,200$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rangers | 9c | 1,113$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 51c | 1,073$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.33 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Astros | 70c | 1,068$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.6 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…74aebacked Astros | 34c | 1,025$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 31c | 969.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.39 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers | 48c | 875$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Astros | 37c | 820.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.73 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 52c | 793.46$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.86 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Astros | 42c | 750$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.3 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Rangers | 8c | 706.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Astros | 61c | 687.66$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.9 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Rangers | 26c | 599.98$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 77c | 599.39$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 60c | 550.84$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.95 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Astros | 52c | 519.14$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.23 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 53c | 513.21$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.21 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rangers | 50c | 501.83$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.97 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Astros | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Astros | 45c | 494.2$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.11 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked Rangers | 37c | 490.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b54…d382backed Rangers | 49c | 478.35$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.39 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff24…76c1backed Astros | 52c | 476.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.95 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -16.8wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Astros | 53c | 472.76$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Astros | 53c | 469.81$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Rangers | 22c | 454.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Rangers | 67c | 454.16$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Astros | 51c | 429.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.26 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Astros | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rangers | 53c | 409.47$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rangers | 48c | 409$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.32 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astros | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Rangers | 27c | 366.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rangers | 43c | 363.45$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 71c | 361.56$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.28 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…cbbbbacked Rangers | 56c | 357.08$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rangers | 26c | 346.17$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Rangers | 48c | 315.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Astros | 53c | 309.91$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Rangers | 6c | 300$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers | 30c | 268.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.59 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Rangers | 23c | 255.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…d9a2backed Rangers | 67c | 251.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 47c | 211.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Rangers | 33c | 206.55$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 65c | 206$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Rangers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…7fb2backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4b…d536backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…18cfbacked Rangers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Astros | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.