MLB · resolved market
Braves vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x363e602a47c225ac3670f527b9f6027ca005bfa04cb212361720c1252dd02748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Braves, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Braves | 48c | 12,270$5,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,380.32 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 52c | 11,111$5,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,777.72 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Cardinals | 50c | 8,578$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,292.1 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 50c | 6,666$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 20c | 4,553$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals | 43c | 3,453$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 14c | 2,576$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.61 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 47c | 2,078$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Braves | 50c | 1,675$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.74 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Braves | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Braves | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Braves | 49c | 857$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.07 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 26c | 576.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cardinals | 24c | 560$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 49c | 549.96$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 68c | 505.05$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Braves | 63c | 346.73$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 58c | 275.2$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.9 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 16c | 262.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Braves | 49c | 217.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.95 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Braves | 62c | 210.13$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.13 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cardinals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 49c | 184.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 182.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Cardinals | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 19c | 146.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…8a1fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 140.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 44c | 123.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…44f0backed Braves | 48c | 121$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Cardinals | 53c | 120$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…f091backed Cardinals | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 27c | 112.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 51c | 110.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…24f0backed Braves | 75c | 108.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 48c | 104$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ac…8026backed Cardinals | 53c | 103$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Braves | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Braves | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Braves | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Cardinals | 53c | 98.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…2024backed Braves | 48c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals | 51c | 85.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Cardinals | 54c | 82.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Braves | 61c | 68.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Braves | 61c | 68.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Braves | 66c | 65.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Braves | 74c | 65.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Braves | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Braves | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Braves | 71c | 60.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Cardinals | 40c | 57.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 49c | 57.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Cardinals | 19c | 57.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Cardinals | 50c | 54.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Cardinals | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 73c | 52.22$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cardinals | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…050fbacked Braves | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e582backed Cardinals | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 35c | 40.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Braves | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c65…946fbacked Cardinals | 53c | 37.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Cardinals | 42c | 35.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Cardinals | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Braves | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Cardinals | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d68…c379backed Braves | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…6f4fbacked Cardinals | 44c | 23.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Braves | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Braves | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Braves | 54c | 18.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Braves | 71c | 16.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.