MLB · resolved market
Pirates vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaab07c288125294101831279e6268defff67f3d283390a1c8f8087b71d62cf7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Pirates, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 25c | 12,089$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.93 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Royals | 66c | 10,964$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,764.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Royals | 64c | 10,800$6,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.14 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 36c | 6,724$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.75 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Pirates | 36c | 4,965$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.53 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Pirates | 45c | 3,351$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.1 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Royals | 60c | 3,334$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.14 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 35c | 3,247$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 36c | 3,141$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.7 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Royals | 67c | 3,099$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.15 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Pirates | 32c | 2,868$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.04 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Pirates | 37c | 2,520$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.37 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Royals | 64c | 2,031$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.25 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 22c | 2,030$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Royals | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 37c | 1,895$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Royals | 62c | 1,811$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Royals | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Pirates | 40c | 1,366$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.59 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Pirates | 37c | 1,352$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.24 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pirates | 39c | 1,263$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.67 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Pirates | 42c | 1,250$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.07 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Royals | 62c | 1,112$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.68 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Royals | 66c | 1,062$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Pirates | 37c | 1,050$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.49 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Royals | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Pirates | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pirates | 36c | 999.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 30c | 983.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Pirates | 38c | 965.18$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.18 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Pirates | 42c | 899.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Pirates | 44c | 793.03$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 36c | 791.29$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.86 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Royals | 68c | 738.54$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.34 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Royals | 77c | 696$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.99 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Pirates | 43c | 671.99$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.96 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Royals | 63c | 611.44$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Royals | 63c | 593.97$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.77 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Pirates | 37c | 540.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.17 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Pirates | 38c | 531.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Royals | 62c | 525.89$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.99 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Royals | 62c | 521.99$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Pirates | 22c | 435.33$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Royals | 65c | 423.62$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Royals | 64c | 397.2$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Pirates | 36c | 376.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Royals | 71c | 338.3$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 33c | 336.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Royals | 68c | 336.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Pirates | 36c | 327.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Pirates | 5c | 324$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Royals | 62c | 322.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.92 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Royals | 62c | 320.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.47 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Royals | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Royals | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Pirates | 36c | 277.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Pirates | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Royals | 74c | 261.37$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Royals | 64c | 260.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Royals | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Royals | 62c | 219.98$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Pirates | 36c | 210.21$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.68 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Pirates | 10c | 205.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…32d3backed Royals | 64c | 200.25$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Pirates | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Royals | 58c | 172.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Pirates | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Royals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f36…4e9cbacked Royals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Royals | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Royals | 65c | 152.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.81 | 230 | 60%138 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Pirates | 26c | 152.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…94cebacked Pirates | 38c | 144.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Royals | 64c | 142$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pirates | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 56c | 138.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…0e40backed Pirates | 31c | 132.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.28per pick | 44cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Pirates | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Pirates | 40c | 117.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…fd30backed Pirates | 38c | 107.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…1e67backed Pirates | 38c | 106.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Pirates | 32c | 106.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Pirates | 37c | 105.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9045…321abacked Pirates | 39c | 100.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Pirates | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Pirates | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Pirates | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pirates | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Royals | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Royals | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…ba10backed Pirates | 39c | 83.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…9841backed Royals | 64c | 82.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Pirates | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Pirates | 29c | 78.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e30…66f2backed Pirates | 38c | 76.79$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9026…bf0bbacked Royals | 63c | 75.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Pirates | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Pirates | 27c | 72.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.