College Football · resolved market
Utah vs. UCF
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x088d6cb0c3e708da214589e76a19fce8d7df94de18a6f14d01ae0c79ca67ebfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, UCF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Utah | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed UCF | 55c | 4,173$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.95 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked UCF | 1c | 3,460$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…83dcbacked Utah | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 102 | 20.6%21 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed UCF | 75c | 1,600$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e49…2d2dbacked Utah | 24c | 1,372$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed UCF | 28c | 1,146$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.47 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed UCF | 76c | 1,102$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed UCF | 16c | 1,078$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Utah | 25c | 987.33$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.5 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…388dbacked UCF | 76c | 855.53$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Utah | 24c | 632.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +224.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Utah | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb5…f2a5backed UCF | 76c | 460$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed UCF | 73c | 437.27$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.17 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…9667backed Utah | 24c | 411.8$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 16cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed UCF | 5c | 373.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Utah | 27c | 373.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.05 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked UCF | 8c | 371.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d8…f9c5backed Utah | 80c | 359.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Utah | 58c | 250.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Utah | 49c | 219.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.85 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed UCF | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e13…4f74backed UCF | 60c | 115.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Utah | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…e132backed Utah | 24c | 110$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +53%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…92d6backed Utah | 24c | 104.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked UCF | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.49 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed UCF | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc73d…0208backed Utah | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Utah | 25c | 99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.25 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…9974backed Utah | 27c | 85.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked UCF | 75c | 80$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Utah | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…6de8backed Utah | 55c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Utah | 24c | 49.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Utah | 37c | 42.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Utah | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7220…a3a1backed Utah | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…b5fcbacked UCF | 76c | 31.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Utah | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Utah | 60c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…f97ebacked UCF | 76c | 28.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94d…4f47backed UCF | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…1271backed UCF | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…6fc4backed UCF | 76c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…41e7backed UCF | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…ad39backed UCF | 76c | 22.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…1de0backed UCF | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed UCF | 74c | 19.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f52…c254backed UCF | 73c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.