Boxing · resolved market
Will David Hoffman defeat Nic Carter?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0fb7f65e2c1aef47a24f496004a262002a1d6794d3faeab37d10bd8df05cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0416…2993backed Yes | 4c | 7,655$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 6c | 3,422$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…272bbacked Yes | 62c | 2,622$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,625.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…72aabacked Yes | 53c | 2,324$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,865$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…cd08backed Yes | 2c | 1,089$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8134…3a6fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…65d2backed Yes | 54c | 931.92$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…44a2backed Yes | 1c | 855.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865e…3013backed Yes | 1c | 752.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…6ee9backed Yes | 47c | 600.57$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fb…9db6backed Yes | 63c | 394.14$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96f5…fd4fbacked Yes | 45c | 374.61$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…2e6abacked Yes | 52c | 286.15$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f8…4273backed No | 40c | 222$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…6066backed Yes | 45c | 114.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Yes | 45c | 111.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…6903backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead5…3c62backed Yes | 45c | 99.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3d…3533backed No | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b43…0674backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Yes | 51c | 40.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b17…44d0backed Yes | 47c | 34.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25e…1b22backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…7c84backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +404.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…424fbacked Yes | 49c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…2495backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b87…2eb9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will David Hoffman defeat Nic Carter?this page
- Will Nic Carter defeat David Hoffman?No won
- Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.