Boxing · resolved market
Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd740ec8ee2c89c218ab1bcb0be36a03f4c8d56618fccca233d84795bfb5eef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…bde0backed Yes | 8c | 6,241$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,741.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 65c | 3,698$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…63a3backed Yes | 9c | 1,267$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…e24ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe885…1b81backed Yes | 9c | 1,053$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 8c | 429.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +619.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069d…0089backed No | 7c | 275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…7c84backed Yes | 9c | 225$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +404.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…ad32backed Yes | 9c | 208.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…a121backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7e92backed No | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…bff7backed Yes | 10c | 168.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9f34backed No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3048…9447backed No | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…2863backed No | 71c | 32.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner?this page
- Will David Hoffman defeat Nic Carter?No won
- Will Nic Carter defeat David Hoffman?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.