Boxing · resolved market
Will Nic Carter defeat David Hoffman?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c060cb13f8b397e3a40e0d2b578f8608b7af83d146d606155fc95c5e4366e13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Boxingevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Boxing is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Boxing | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99a7…bde0backed Yes | 36c | 11,401$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +525%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…a735backed Yes | 42c | 8,816$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…3fcfbacked Yes | 49c | 3,752$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…ef15backed Yes | 49c | 2,488$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…c6e5backed Yes | 9c | 2,204$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…2993backed Yes | 7c | 1,485$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 51c | 1,088$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef3…db7abacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c9…2e6abacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 77c | 894.3$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…d08abacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…f399backed Yes | 43c | 691.11$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04d…d0d8backed Yes | 3c | 600$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed Yes | 5c | 574.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc0…ec72backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…47afbacked Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3b…bff7backed Yes | 31c | 477.42$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…cd08backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…6f42backed Yes | 13c | 269.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…44a2backed Yes | 8c | 252.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec05…a125backed Yes | 41c | 233.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 61c | 221.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…a121backed Yes | 50c | 218.23$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3538…fbfabacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…7e92backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…28bfbacked Yes | 30c | 181.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…0c6dbacked Yes | 29c | 172.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…0b61backed Yes | 30c | 169.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a2…c991backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…0adebacked Yes | 30c | 127.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…996cbacked Yes | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…6066backed Yes | 74c | 107.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed No | 53c | 75.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +619.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…1b9bbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78c9…abe1backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d9…e4e3backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8245backed Yes | 47c | 41.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8928…cbc2backed No | 51c | 40.61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b4…b469backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…fab3backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Boxing and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nic Carter defeat David Hoffman?this page
- Will David Hoffman defeat Nic Carter?No won
- Will Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman have no winner?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.