Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb02d4c02ee3365df6c28d117f3d85a1d53bd80aa9797f11e95eb924910ec05eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $836,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $892,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $836,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0764…e01fbacked No | 11c | 740,524$79,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,154.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 5c | 8,912$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 10c | 3,610$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.27 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 10c | 3,050$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.99 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 17c | 2,011$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x394c…7654backed No | 9c | 1,765$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed No | 10c | 1,109$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked No | 9c | 1,008$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 11c | 915.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 10c | 665.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 9c | 512.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 9c | 499.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed No | 11c | 450.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 9c | 283.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 14c | 250$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…8c6bbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 9c | 246.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 12c | 232.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 9c | 199.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 9c | 129.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…09b5backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 130 | 16.2%21 W · 109 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 17c | 83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 80c | 68.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 79c | 55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-08-22?this page
- Will Angers SCO win on 2025-08-22?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Angers SCO end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.