Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a7252bfaca4c43c68fa96bc06433ee7e37491ec4da202478ac6cf249afad15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce69…c81dbacked Yes | 2c | 8,355$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 285 | 43.9%125 W · 160 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 35c | 4,745$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.81 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 76c | 2,535$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.98 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 67c | 2,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 32c | 1,667$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.85 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 32c | 1,567$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 69c | 1,495$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.22 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 64c | 1,273$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.19 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2b…411bbacked Yes | 39c | 1,269$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed No | 67c | 999.96$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked No | 64c | 761.89$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 33c | 744.46$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.67 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 33c | 669.76$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.02 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 33c | 589.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 68c | 576.48$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.96 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 36c | 559$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes | 36c | 549.11$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 69c | 529.64$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.68 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 64c | 383.73$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…0cefbacked Yes | 32c | 310.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 203.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +199.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 33c | 181.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 34c | 178.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.81 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 35c | 159.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 22c | 124$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 30c | 98.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…ddd7backed Yes | 21c | 94.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked No | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed No | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 19c | 71.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…14babacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…8c54backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 72c | 18.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed No | 75c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-20?this page
- Will FC Basel vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.