Champions League · resolved market
Will FC Basel vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb56995a05ce813ade5e7ab6ed5b0dcd57f5f06eaabe180efc7798f00c2f62254
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b9f…3e91backed Yes | 29c | 3,450$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bb…50bebacked No | 71c | 2,816$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91c5…8ed0backed No | 71c | 2,184$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…eb42backed Yes | 29c | 1,550$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +251%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 44c | 968.1$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.87 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Yes | 67c | 810.87$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 71c | 576.27$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.82 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 69c | 508.23$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.87 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 29c | 204.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.21 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 29c | 172.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 30c | 167.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 43c | 138.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 27c | 86.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.83 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…372dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48dc…8c54backed Yes | 58c | 43.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 50c | 37.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd4…e888backed No | 69c | 19.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Basel vs. FC Kopenhagen end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Basel win on 2025-08-20?No won
- Will FC Kopenhagen win on 2025-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.