CS2 · resolved market
EWC Cs2: HEROIC vs. Aurora
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd28daa9f82fc37769f7a28de6a83cc677e2e3b00212f06ad7e02b6b63fbb0fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof HEROIC, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Aurora | 67c | 15,160$10,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.43 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed HEROIC | 33c | 7,798$2,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565.57 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed HEROIC | 32c | 6,249$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.14 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +28%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed HEROIC | 30c | 5,932$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790.28 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x563b…774bbacked Aurora | 70c | 4,304$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.97 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…0166backed HEROIC | 1c | 3,612$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed HEROIC | 27c | 3,150$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.26 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92f…8169backed HEROIC | 34c | 2,937$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed Aurora | 68c | 2,731$1,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.01 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aurora | 74c | 2,309$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.03 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Aurora | 68c | 2,288$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.53 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked HEROIC | 44c | 2,267$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Aurora | 67c | 1,840$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.29 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Aurora | 68c | 1,799$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.6 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…5062backed HEROIC | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -7.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Aurora | 69c | 1,459$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.22 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed HEROIC | 26c | 1,300$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed HEROIC | 32c | 1,299$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.68 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed HEROIC | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Aurora | 70c | 1,100$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Aurora | 68c | 1,008$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.56 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed HEROIC | 30c | 1,004$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.05 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked HEROIC | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed HEROIC | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed HEROIC | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 241 | 39%94 W · 147 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Aurora | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7227…ed25backed HEROIC | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Aurora | 68c | 891.07$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.14 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked HEROIC | 31c | 866.07$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.48 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed HEROIC | 32c | 800$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Aurora | 65c | 782.35$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…eda0backed HEROIC | 36c | 730.56$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Aurora | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed HEROIC | 21c | 660.21$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Aurora | 68c | 652$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.64 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HEROIC | 26c | 650$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora | 69c | 646.38$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed HEROIC | 40c | 630.78$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed HEROIC | 33c | 613.2$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.36 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Aurora | 68c | 583.37$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed HEROIC | 26c | 574.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked HEROIC | 35c | 574.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aurora | 67c | 570.92$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.03 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora | 66c | 562.76$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.66 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked HEROIC | 11c | 528.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed HEROIC | 16c | 512.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Aurora | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed HEROIC | 29c | 462.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.97 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f1…ad52backed HEROIC | 12c | 419.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Aurora | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Aurora | 66c | 382.35$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed HEROIC | 37c | 379.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f47…120dbacked Aurora | 68c | 368.24$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.1 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc17…2a53backed Aurora | 68c | 345.59$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked HEROIC | 33c | 343.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked HEROIC | 15c | 338.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed HEROIC | 36c | 333.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked HEROIC | 12c | 333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed HEROIC | 44c | 306.68$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.94 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed HEROIC | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb8…9177backed Aurora | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Aurora | 70c | 281.96$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed HEROIC | 13c | 278$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Aurora | 74c | 271.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…8a19backed Aurora | 62c | 261.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…445dbacked HEROIC | 33c | 257.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed HEROIC | 31c | 254.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe238…e5e5backed Aurora | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed HEROIC | 27c | 234.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed HEROIC | 44c | 226.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Aurora | 68c | 225$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 233 | 51.5%120 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Aurora | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed HEROIC | 33c | 210.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Aurora | 70c | 177.14$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked HEROIC | 33c | 162.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aurora | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed HEROIC | 31c | 135$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…8c88backed HEROIC | 28c | 111.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c7…0b56backed HEROIC | 19c | 105.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked HEROIC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Aurora | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked HEROIC | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked HEROIC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed HEROIC | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822f…ea37backed HEROIC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed HEROIC | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked HEROIC | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0270…1a44backed HEROIC | 18c | 88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Aurora | 67c | 82.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Aurora | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Aurora | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked HEROIC | 26c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…a346backed HEROIC | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Aurora | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked HEROIC | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Aurora | 67c | 62.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed HEROIC | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked HEROIC | 32c | 60.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…08ebbacked HEROIC | 32c | 57.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked HEROIC | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.