Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KRC Genk win on 2025-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1501ce61d7583d2229df2d3834d35ff4555d5719644bc6a2091cbadc03b0e314
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 39c | 1,895$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.54 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 56c | 1,880$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.21 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 63c | 1,277$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.18 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 1,095$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.01 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 67c | 774.29$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.19 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 628.59$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.84 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 56c | 563$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 103 | 32%33 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 61c | 130.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 48c | 121.52$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 46c | 102.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 52c | 47.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Yes | 47c | 37.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed No | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…cb54backed Yes | 48c | 26.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KRC Genk win on 2025-08-21?this page
- Will Lech Poznan vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?No won
- Will Lech Poznan win on 2025-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.