Cricket · resolved market
International T20 Series: South Africa vs West Indies (Game 3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9517db514c0dfb3285dd3018b12e504b6f37abc4fef8fc64b1c7f77562647ffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Indiesof South Africa, West Indies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef51…c0d3backed West Indies | 54c | 21,171$11,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,696.03 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked South Africa | 50c | 11,173$5,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,621.41 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…3ee3backed South Africa | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked West Indies | 54c | 8,899$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,059.27 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…42f1backed South Africa | 69c | 8,505$5,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,876.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac72…34a8backed South Africa | 69c | 7,400$5,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed West Indies | 45c | 4,773$2,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,626.24 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…610fbacked South Africa | 32c | 2,584$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.35 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed South Africa | 49c | 2,270$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.89 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…c2acbacked South Africa | 2c | 1,688$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed South Africa | 27c | 1,260$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…1686backed West Indies | 49c | 1,067$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.94 | 189 | 23.8%45 W · 144 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked West Indies | 52c | 961.86$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.86 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed South Africa | 46c | 939.2$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.6 | 66 | 9.1%6 W · 60 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed West Indies | 36c | 900$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked South Africa | 54c | 880.56$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked West Indies | 47c | 868.59$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.19 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed West Indies | 31c | 850$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.5 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7090…a5ffbacked South Africa | 2c | 783.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 213 | 39.4%84 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6a40backed South Africa | 66c | 756.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…be65backed South Africa | 13c | 600$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked West Indies | 33c | 583.76$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.12 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed West Indies | 76c | 564.99$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.37 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed South Africa | 31c | 525.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.96 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a65…8d8fbacked West Indies | 30c | 309.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.43 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked South Africa | 54c | 289.18$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed West Indies | 53c | 288$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.1 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed South Africa | 34c | 270.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1e…c7dfbacked West Indies | 35c | 257.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.41 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed South Africa | 45c | 229.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked West Indies | 44c | 221.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…643fbacked West Indies | 45c | 217.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 145 | 37.9%55 W · 90 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed South Africa | 27c | 212.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…ecffbacked South Africa | 57c | 176.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed West Indies | 46c | 176.26$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.77 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…2be0backed West Indies | 67c | 174.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed West Indies | 35c | 163.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f69…fdfbbacked West Indies | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…776abacked South Africa | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ae…5833backed South Africa | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked West Indies | 44c | 94.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked South Africa | 65c | 88.58$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.86 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18e…706dbacked South Africa | 70c | 88.29$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…4747backed West Indies | 63c | 81.14$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…93c7backed South Africa | 50c | 80.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked South Africa | 56c | 72.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed West Indies | 26c | 68.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.59 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…09dabacked South Africa | 32c | 63.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked West Indies | 29c | 63.47$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…261fbacked South Africa | 61c | 63$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…63f4backed West Indies | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed South Africa | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec45…9042backed West Indies | 27c | 46.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e44…53d0backed West Indies | 26c | 46.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed West Indies | 59c | 33.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a5…96e7backed South Africa | 47c | 33.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…83aebacked West Indies | 47c | 31.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed South Africa | 57c | 31.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked South Africa | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed West Indies | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7176…bc8cbacked South Africa | 51c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed West Indies | 40c | 26.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 221 | 41.6%92 W · 129 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…447cbacked West Indies | 58c | 26.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…3d14backed South Africa | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde60…59afbacked South Africa | 66c | 21.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…b068backed South Africa | 51c | 21.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed South Africa | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9afa…377ebacked South Africa | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…772abacked South Africa | 69c | 19.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…37d3backed West Indies | 63c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.