NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97174e1c0e11a8a6b7adadaf98ba470290ae26fdf66be38ed1ceb91b4eedbf6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Raptors | 52c | 100,000$52,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,999.89 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Kings | 48c | 20,833$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Raptors | 52c | 19,488$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,352.57 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Kings | 48c | 15,553$7,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,465.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…678abacked Kings | 48c | 11,460$5,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 47c | 10,434$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.68 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Kings | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Kings | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 25c | 8,017$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.16 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,759.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Kings | 48c | 7,885$3,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,784.71 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Raptors | 77c | 6,914$5,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.03 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Kings | 48c | 6,833$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 48c | 6,142$2,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Kings | 48c | 5,952$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kings | 47c | 5,616$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Raptors | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +10.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Kings | 46c | 4,775$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b0…9d9fbacked Kings | 48c | 4,458$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kings | 48c | 4,402$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.42 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Kings | 48c | 4,280$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.19 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors | 54c | 3,889$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.89 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1978…002dbacked Kings | 48c | 3,588$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,722 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Kings | 48c | 3,273$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571 | 403 | 50.1%202 W · 201 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Raptors | 53c | 1,999$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.75 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Kings | 48c | 1,959$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.32 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 49c | 1,910$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.08 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Kings | 48c | 1,385$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Raptors | 54c | 1,062$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.63 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Kings | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…5e3bbacked Kings | 45c | 1,020$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Kings | 48c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…b3c6backed Kings | 45c | 980$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 52c | 951.97$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.7 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Kings | 48c | 834.54$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.58 | 238 | 50%119 W · 119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 54c | 820.97$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.67 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Kings | 48c | 791.67$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings | 61c | 782$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.97 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings | 48c | 736.7$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.77 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Kings | 48c | 581.25$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Kings | 48c | 580$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.4 | 346 | 54%187 W · 159 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kings | 48c | 450.19$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Kings | 48c | 441.67$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Kings | 46c | 440.47$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.62 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd645…61e3backed Raptors | 55c | 420$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Kings | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 46c | 379.86$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.36 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df1…4a8fbacked Raptors | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…afacbacked Raptors | 55c | 360$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97db…13f2backed Raptors | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kings | 16c | 321.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kings | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Raptors | 57c | 284.39$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Raptors | 54c | 275$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.5 | 502 | 41.2%207 W · 295 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…fbfebacked Raptors | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kings | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…969fbacked Raptors | 55c | 240$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…8688backed Kings | 61c | 233.06$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Raptors | 55c | 229$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…6d18backed Raptors | 54c | 223.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Kings | 47c | 220$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Kings | 48c | 209.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.76 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Kings | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 32.9%80 W · 163 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Raptors | 80c | 206.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Kings | 46c | 201.28$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.14 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Raptors | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Raptors | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Raptors | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Raptors | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a00…0c93backed Kings | 51c | 157.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Raptors | 52c | 154.85$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Raptors | 54c | 142$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 421 | 43.7%184 W · 237 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d81…20c3backed Raptors | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kings | 46c | 129.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Raptors | 56c | 129.29$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Raptors | 74c | 123.49$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.58 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…7061backed Raptors | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Raptors | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kings | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a1…3b93backed Raptors | 53c | 97.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +5.5wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Raptors | 56c | 88.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…d581backed Raptors | 53c | 75.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Raptors | 54c | 74.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cec…3873backed Raptors | 54c | 73.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Kings | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Raptors | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Kings | 47c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Kings | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 712 | 45.8%326 W · 386 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Kings | 46c | 59.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Raptors | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Kings | 44c | 56.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Raptors | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Kings | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Raptors | 53c | 49.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Kings | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Kings | 45c | 45.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe56e…0bb4backed Kings | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 48.3%117 W · 125 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Kings | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Kings | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Kings | 48c | 38.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)this page
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Precious Achiuwa: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Raptors vs. KingsRaptors won
- Raptors vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Raptors vs. Kings: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 223.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 224.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 225.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 226.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5Over won
- Sandro Mamukelashvili: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-6.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.