Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ae253d3f8e6937adea22e22279fafb9b3ccd5c7694c1c83f6844800861c7d0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 67c | 574.5$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.35 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d35…3d76backed No | 69c | 304.8$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 298.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.79 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 41c | 264.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.14 | 635 | 38.4%244 W · 391 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 69c | 159.95$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.37 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 33c | 136.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 31c | 132.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 31c | 132.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 45c | 130.93$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 53c | 130.85$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 34c | 124.57$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 31c | 111.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c30…0ac6backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcca3…7450backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.76 | 426 | 43.2%184 W · 242 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed No | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 36c | 90.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 30c | 88.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.52 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed Yes | 31c | 88$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 65c | 86.61$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed No | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 56c | 78.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 67c | 77.21$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.91 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 33c | 73.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 62c | 71.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 26c | 69.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 35c | 67.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 62c | 66$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.92 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 56.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 62c | 56.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 48c | 56.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 31c | 55.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 50.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 50.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.57 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 31c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 29c | 47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 46.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 62c | 44.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 40c | 42.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 29c | 40.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 43c | 37.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 35.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 31c | 33.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 74c | 32.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 37c | 31.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f9febacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 54c | 31.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 30.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 38c | 28.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 39c | 27.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4606…7f19backed No | 62c | 24.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 116 | 64.7%75 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 59c | 22.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 70c | 21.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…7a3abacked No | 73c | 18.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 17.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 67c | 15.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.