Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x608392fb1234ddc6c263650f4ba8985686981116e4937f4fd4abad8fbcad309e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 56c | 2,965$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.06 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 44c | 316.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 33c | 297.53$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 44c | 219.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 205.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 56c | 181.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 56c | 176.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 46c | 175$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 52c | 161.04$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 45c | 154.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.66 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 59c | 136.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.26 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 54c | 133.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.89 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 27c | 128.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 39c | 126.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.19 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 43c | 115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 44c | 115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…c0a7backed No | 44c | 110$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 55c | 109.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 28c | 102.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…5322backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 43c | 94.91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked No | 53c | 92.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 89.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eee…9a08backed No | 46c | 86.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…73e3backed No | 46c | 86.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 60c | 85.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 421 | 48%202 W · 219 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 83.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…4af6backed No | 43c | 82.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 270 | 56.7%153 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 61c | 82.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked No | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 49c | 76.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 39c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 39c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 58c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 48c | 71.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 55c | 69.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 58c | 69.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 59c | 68.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3eb7backed Yes | 52c | 67.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 65.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 39c | 61.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed Yes | 59c | 57.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebe…2c1dbacked Yes | 51c | 56.45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 41c | 55.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb55…ff0fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 155 | 29%45 W · 110 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…11f4backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040b…bbc5backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ad…5f89backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3c…c6d8backed No | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 61c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31d…f8bfbacked No | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 42c | 38.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…b70dbacked Yes | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…7c3abacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 38c | 32.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 40c | 29.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 2,823 | 11.2%316 W · 2,507 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 42c | 26.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 66c | 24.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 50c | 22.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 59c | 21.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 59c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15e1…1b3dbacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…7e42backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 110 | 68.2%75 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf0…d22cbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf0…5951backed No | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.