Tennis · resolved market
Rotterdam Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Christopher O'Connell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x441967d4ba287a4910e05556855b7a9d57b31b91bb92dfa3e5c0c0845835337a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- O'Connellof Sachko, O'Connell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sachko | 14c | 2,589$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sachko | 14c | 2,296$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Sachko | 14c | 1,219$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked O'Connell | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.98 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed O'Connell | 59c | 1,061$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.34 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Sachko | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Sachko | 37c | 771$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Sachko | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Sachko | 40c | 500.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e5…9401backed Sachko | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sachko | 17c | 266.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4c…2a53backed Sachko | 39c | 257.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Sachko | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…878cbacked Sachko | 44c | 226.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sachko | 45c | 151.94$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 2,150 | 54.1%1,164 W · 986 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Sachko | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed O'Connell | 76c | 110.76$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed O'Connell | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked O'Connell | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf642…0c19backed Sachko | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked O'Connell | 61c | 97.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 136 | 52.9%72 W · 64 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Sachko | 35c | 70.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked O'Connell | 58c | 66.03$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed O'Connell | 61c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…a380backed Sachko | 36c | 62.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sachko | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Sachko | 44c | 59.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8d…6553backed Sachko | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sachko | 38c | 51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Sachko | 42c | 40.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked O'Connell | 60c | 38.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked O'Connell | 61c | 34.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…15e3backed O'Connell | 65c | 32.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…2055backed O'Connell | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a2…46cebacked O'Connell | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Sachko | 34c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed O'Connell | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked O'Connell | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c5…154abacked O'Connell | 64c | 22.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed O'Connell | 62c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd675…30d9backed O'Connell | 77c | 19.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed O'Connell | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.