Tennis · resolved market
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Valerio Aboian
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06f424a336c64625100932e28c1712d7dacdd09ec700c411eb4f05eced379606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Dellienof Hugo Dellien, Valerio Aboian
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Valerio Aboian | 6c | 19,535$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.5 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Valerio Aboian | 16c | 3,614$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valerio Aboian | 4c | 3,245$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Valerio Aboian | 6c | 2,559$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Valerio Aboian | 3c | 2,432$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Valerio Aboian | 7c | 2,406$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.44 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Valerio Aboian | 7c | 2,273$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 603 | 55.4%334 W · 269 L | +19.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Valerio Aboian | 6c | 1,615$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.03 | 630 | 52.4%330 W · 300 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Valerio Aboian | 7c | 1,261$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Valerio Aboian | 15c | 962.36$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.35 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Valerio Aboian | 7c | 741.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Valerio Aboian | 7c | 621.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Valerio Aboian | 6c | 566.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Valerio Aboian | 12c | 552.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Valerio Aboian | 7c | 528.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valerio Aboian | 8c | 416.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Valerio Aboian | 14c | 339.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Valerio Aboian | 7c | 337.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 437 | 52.2%228 W · 209 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…ced8backed Valerio Aboian | 10c | 331.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Valerio Aboian | 7c | 329.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Valerio Aboian | 7c | 325.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Valerio Aboian | 6c | 314.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Valerio Aboian | 15c | 278.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Valerio Aboian | 6c | 260.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Valerio Aboian | 8c | 253.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa13…c84abacked Valerio Aboian | 6c | 224.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Valerio Aboian | 7c | 188.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Valerio Aboian | 10c | 170.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…ce30backed Valerio Aboian | 14c | 151.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Valerio Aboian | 15c | 132.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Valerio Aboian | 8c | 128.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Valerio Aboian | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Valerio Aboian | 10c | 118.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Valerio Aboian | 11c | 115.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Valerio Aboian | 11c | 115.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 506 | 44.9%227 W · 279 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Valerio Aboian | 11c | 115.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Valerio Aboian | 13c | 105.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Valerio Aboian | 14c | 104.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Valerio Aboian | 15c | 75.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 553 | 60.4%334 W · 219 L | +32.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Valerio Aboian | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valerio Aboian | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Valerio Aboianthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Dellien vs AboianDellien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.