TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rome: Alex Barrena vs Gianluca Cadenasso

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gianluca Cadenassoof Alex Barrena, Gianluca Cadenasso
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,164
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,951

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,164 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Alex Barrena10c3,215$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.832,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Alex Barrena33c2,989$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.977,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso68c2,496$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Gianluca Cadenasso64c2,406$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.113,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alex Barrena36c2,329$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.38,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Gianluca Cadenasso64c2,103$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.54,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gianluca Cadenasso79c1,305$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.124,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Alex Barrena40c1,240$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.5597745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Alex Barrena36c1,138$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.1915948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Alex Barrena37c1,051$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95bd…b9bebacked Alex Barrena35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Alex Barrena40c820.83$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3333650.9%171 W · 165 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Gianluca Cadenasso59c767.32$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.91,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Alex Barrena41c712.29$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.781,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x746e…68cabacked Gianluca Cadenasso57c669.53$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.844100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+151.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Alex Barrena40c663.15$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.262,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Gianluca Cadenasso60c551.66$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.661361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alex Barrena39c528.04$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.915,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Gianluca Cadenasso63c496.86$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.984,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eaf…507bbacked Alex Barrena39c446.31$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.8318133.1%60 W · 121 L-14.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Alex Barrena41c397.98$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.171163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Alex Barrena33c364.84$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1918447.3%87 W · 97 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Alex Barrena38c302.94$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.551,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso64c288.82$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.430131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…3ff9backed Alex Barrena36c275.5$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1815248%73 W · 79 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Gianluca Cadenasso64c263.25$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.771,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.625250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.611844.9%53 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Alex Barrena40c215.13$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.057943%34 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso64c208.34$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.774,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Gianluca Cadenasso71c208.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.932,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Alex Barrena43c195.73$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.161,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso60c183$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.27834.6%27 W · 51 L-9.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c164.03$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.611,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0721856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Gianluca Cadenasso59c156$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.967,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed Gianluca Cadenasso63c155.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.668269.5%57 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Gianluca Cadenasso63c142.96$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.956754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28c9…d1cfbacked Alex Barrena41c138.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdedd…7fbdbacked Alex Barrena35c137.29$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Gianluca Cadenasso64c133.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0860355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Alex Barrena10c131.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7334847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Gianluca Cadenasso64c128.78$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.968,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Gianluca Cadenasso66c125.46$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.635455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25ad…58d8backed Alex Barrena41c119.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc58…7894backed Alex Barrena39c117.94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eae…518ebacked Alex Barrena41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ec…060bbacked Alex Barrena43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.291266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Alex Barrena43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2913563%85 W · 50 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Alex Barrena11c103.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3550644.9%227 W · 279 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Alex Barrena39c101.56$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6132247.2%152 W · 170 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Alex Barrena38c100.41$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6649142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Alex Barrena44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Alex Barrena31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3117436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Gianluca Cadenasso58c97.48$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.949247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5312748.8%62 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alex Barrena36c80.17$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.463,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Gianluca Cadenasso59c79.31$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.341,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso62c79.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Gianluca Cadenasso63c78.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0427940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Gianluca Cadenasso62c78.18$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7130349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Alex Barrena27c77.79$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso64c76.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5263052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d5…5a73backed Alex Barrena38c76.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.885860.3%35 W · 23 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Alex Barrena43c67.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2342344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x165b…711cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso60c66.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6826953.2%143 W · 126 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Alex Barrena37c62.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.249843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Alex Barrena43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.81,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c56.19$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.343,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Gianluca Cadenasso67c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7525745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…ced8backed Alex Barrena38c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192532%8 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f7…ced9backed Gianluca Cadenasso59c49.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+47.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c34…7a99backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.528848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Gianluca Cadenasso63c46.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.232,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Gianluca Cadenasso63c46.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0424965.1%162 W · 87 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Gianluca Cadenasso59c42.41$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3422153.4%118 W · 103 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Alex Barrena38c42.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.196844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso67c42.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7645051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Alex Barrena36c40.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4156817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1b38…a036backed Gianluca Cadenasso65c38.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6511949.6%59 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Gianluca Cadenasso64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7631463.1%198 W · 116 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Gianluca Cadenasso70c36.69$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1221754.8%119 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Gianluca Cadenasso60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0114761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Gianluca Cadenasso60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.017665.8%50 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Gianluca Cadenasso65c30.12$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.642,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7061…b4aebacked Gianluca Cadenasso65c29.56$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4413856.5%78 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Gianluca Cadenasso64c26.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.562,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gianluca Cadenasso63c25.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c7…bea7backed Gianluca Cadenasso60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1066452.3%347 W · 317 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Gianluca Cadenasso60c19.71$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.891,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Gianluca Cadenasso59c18.53$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.651,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Gianluca Cadenasso61c16.89$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5911753%62 W · 55 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Gianluca Cadenasso73c14.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7937058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.