TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$209,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes46c110,450$50,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,882.669649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c34,895$18,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,858.8377751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No54c29,806$16,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,114.322650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes45c26,463$11,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,569.0623643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c17,558$9,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,509.897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c15,876$8,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,795.921,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c14,759$8,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,394.463,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes60c10,236$6,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,109.7747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No55c9,220$5,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.441030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No56c8,750$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.044751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No55c6,574$3,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.123858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed No55c4,758$2,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6172254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+37.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No59c3,311$1,943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,942.8899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes43c2,346$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.889050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No57c2,196$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.6742947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked No54c2,024$1,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.96850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d2…3014backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes35c1,941$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.8714761.2%90 W · 57 L+20.8wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No55c1,925$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.1991553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No54c1,881$1,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,018.4437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No56c1,565$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.4453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes45c1,500$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.998661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes58c1,292$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.9819073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No50c1,235$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.123145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes39c1,190$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.111040%4 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No54c1,036$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.2912254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes44c1,023$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.982544%11 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No55c1,017$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.2915458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No55c1,017$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.2914151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5508547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56de…bc32backed No54c928.91$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked No24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed No56c714.29$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff3…9293backed No54c706.88$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.99425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-57.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No56c700$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3926546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No14c552.23$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0341339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.825042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes44c483.26$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.968065%52 W · 28 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No55c470.67$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes44c443.49$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.3513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.675232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No31c400.26$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.741,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No55c386.97$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.845156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b4…7371backed Yes46c380.43$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+201%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No53c369$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.934447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No25c367.81$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No54c367.46$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No56c357.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9912146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No54c348.18$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No28c337.62$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5628721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No52c334.85$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.3478344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No22c322.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2217753.1%94 W · 83 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c320$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.554949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes61c300$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.244438.6%17 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No56c300$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1694959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes50c293$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.487074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No53c283.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.4724859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed No56c280.55$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.752642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No54c271.46$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5910755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6711…1485backed Yes47c268.34$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Yes44c255$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Yes45c223.51$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes45c221.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.612035%7 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.393943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes48c210.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.042070%14 W · 6 L+4.6wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+67.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.670249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Yes44c180$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.82634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked No54c178.33$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No55c175$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.185851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes39c171.79$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+113.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked No55c171.73$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.886056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes45c167.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.652445.8%11 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed No29c162.74$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2310249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.61947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No55c159.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.712060%12 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-54.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9644…02fcbacked No62c155.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.13540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c153.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8487154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes50c153.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7192346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No24c149$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4230444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d8…de5ebacked Yes45c145.57$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ecf…9148backed Yes37c143.51$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No55c139$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.431,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes42c137.26$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.37962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes44c136.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.361625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-49%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4cad…0303backed Yes74c129.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.562556%14 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No63c124.52$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4511454.4%62 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No54c120.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.789245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.226050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes44c119.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6424326.3%64 W · 179 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes65c113.38$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.281118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-69.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0833…bc88backed Yes70c113$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.42030%6 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.