Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x142c2e661daab85793a348abcd6927f04f15b058021e7c0cfeae458e7325ced7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 3,139$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.22 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 72c | 1,965$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.28 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 1,824$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.3 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 72c | 1,764$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 28c | 1,714$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.92 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 1,289$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 29c | 1,241$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +54%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 17c | 821.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 27c | 676.15$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d2…3014backed Yes | 28c | 642.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 369.39$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 28c | 292$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 27c | 281.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 272.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 195.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.69 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 71c | 178.35$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 161.96$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 72c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 77c | 129.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 71c | 103.42$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 101.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 65c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 28c | 88.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Yes | 28c | 82.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 37.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…305ebacked No | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 71c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aff…eba4backed No | 74c | 19.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff66…39cfbacked No | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.