Mls · resolved market
Will Atlanta United FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x896ff3229c2379164cad2283a23e3e7aa65f46252a39fd4cf861fd057ad1b7f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 5,897$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.74 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 5,079$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.57 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 55c | 1,984$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.11 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 499.98$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 497.64$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 37c | 231.31$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 16c | 223.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 40c | 201.09$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 66c | 165$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 124.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 72c | 122.73$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 43c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 32c | 76.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 71c | 61.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Yes | 34c | 59.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 58.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Yes | 28c | 58.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 54.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Yes | 38c | 53.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 47.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 45.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 41.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 73c | 36.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 71c | 22.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 68c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlanta United FC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.