Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f782f0eee7d053e9f2dc2b6e07435fd4d5181787cb0ead2cef850e583605649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howard Bisonof Howard Bison, UNCW Seahawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked UNCW Seahawks | 70c | 2,653$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.49 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Howard Bison | 77c | 1,236$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.65 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Howard Bison | 48c | 1,206$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.55 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Howard Bison | 49c | 1,013$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.8 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed UNCW Seahawks | 5c | 873.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UNCW Seahawks | 27c | 803.36$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.43 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked UNCW Seahawks | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Howard Bison | 25c | 358.33$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Howard Bison | 9c | 161$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Howard Bison | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Howard Bison | 56c | 149.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Howard Bison | 54c | 142.26$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed UNCW Seahawks | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Howard Bison | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Howard Bison | 25c | 106$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af4…2c29backed UNCW Seahawks | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Howard Bison | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Howard Bison | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Howard Bison | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Howard Bison | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdce4…6326backed UNCW Seahawks | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Howard Bison | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Howard Bison | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa68f…7152backed Howard Bison | 77c | 26.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Howard Bison | 68c | 16.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawksthis page
- Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 140.5Under won
- Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 141.5Under won
- Howard Bison vs. UNCW Seahawks: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: UNCW Seahawks (-14.5)Howard Bison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.