Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcc14f6ceef72b87e4f8881d2eecefc5e0772fc82d6b241537150ea989075f18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Osuigweof Semenistaja, Osuigwe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Semenistaja | 63c | 2,767$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.1 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Osuigwe | 74c | 1,673$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.48 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +527.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Osuigwe | 45c | 1,490$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Semenistaja | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Osuigwe | 39c | 1,316$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Semenistaja | 1c | 1,300$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Semenistaja | 51c | 893.29$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.95 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Osuigwe | 37c | 452.38$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Osuigwe | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Semenistaja | 9c | 406.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 138 | 16.7%23 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Osuigwe | 48c | 340.08$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.61 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7163…3601backed Osuigwe | 41c | 275.55$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.27 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Semenistaja | 47c | 225.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Semenistaja | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Semenistaja | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Semenistaja | 50c | 81.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Semenistaja | 44c | 74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Semenistaja | 25c | 62.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x85d6…1a78backed Semenistaja | 76c | 58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Osuigwe | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Osuigwe | 80c | 31.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…7cc8backed Semenistaja | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Semenistaja | 48c | 24.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Semenistaja | 71c | 20.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Whitney Osuigwethis page
- Semenistaja vs. Osuigwe: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.