NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ac210f160b9c4a9ade5a4940ea355b9e9c881f5385e16b31d2395dfac939b6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,807
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,807 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 52c | 56,982$29,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,101.17 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 47c | 19,051$8,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,954 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 48c | 12,605$6,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,032.52 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 9,637$4,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625.97 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 6,036$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.12 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 4,839$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,339.42 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 51c | 3,449$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.07 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 49c | 2,624$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 2,219$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.39 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Under | 49c | 2,080$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 2,062$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.41 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Under | 48c | 1,831$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.73 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,526$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.09 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 1,161$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.64 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 1,074$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.56 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 1,021$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.08 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 72c | 709.76$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Under | 48c | 500$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 51c | 343$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.22 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 48c | 312$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…7511backed Over | 51c | 276.2$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 27c | 272$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 25c | 244$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 52c | 232.71$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.7 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 219$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 49c | 217.93$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 28c | 212$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 50c | 199.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 48c | 133.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 51c | 113.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.17 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 51c | 113.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.74 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 598 | 52.3%313 W · 285 L | +34.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Under | 50c | 77.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…eec2backed Over | 52c | 72.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Over | 52c | 61.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 49c | 56.27$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f5…d680backed Under | 22c | 55.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over | 53c | 54.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 49c | 53.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 65c | 46.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…7f4ebacked Over | 51c | 43.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 39.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…0a38backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dd…e22bbacked Over | 51c | 37.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 52c | 32.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Over | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 51c | 30.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…8ca1backed Over | 52c | 28.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa796…95f9backed Over | 53c | 28.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5694…501cbacked Under | 49c | 26.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 24.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…ea85backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Oilers vs. UtahUtah won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Oilers vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Oilers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.