TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,711
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,781

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,711 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c21,586$10,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,459.452,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over53c21,000$11,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,1303633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Under49c10,456$5,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,358.329746.4%45 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over50c8,022$4,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.1845936.2%166 W · 293 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b6…9dbdbacked Under46c6,276$2,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.59250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x069c…c844backed Over53c5,635$2,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,986.171526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-47.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65010924.8%27 W · 82 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over50c4,990$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.14,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59033057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c2,835$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over54c2,423$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.763647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under48c2,112$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.0921049%103 W · 107 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c2,044$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.331,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick50cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under62c1,866$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.084560%27 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under47c1,756$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.4925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under48c1,679$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.171450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c1,470$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.9723926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c1,313$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.0252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Over53c1,134$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011443.9%50 W · 64 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over51c1,050$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.677218.1%13 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+74.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51040953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed Over52c929.98$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.313036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under48c893.29$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.292860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+27.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over41c811.27$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.673441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under47c713.28$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.043360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Over46c604.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under49c601$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5121253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31812639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over54c589.22$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31810545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Under48c433.7$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.76852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22437342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under47c309.57$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0722229.3%65 W · 157 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1566642.4%28 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Over53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under47c279.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.165246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Under55c271.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.041361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1817…5f80backed Over27c261.29$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under56c236.04$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.3443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over54c204.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.368038.8%31 W · 49 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick72cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over52c202.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.457544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Over29c201.17$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8412245.1%55 W · 67 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over29c198.78$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579137.4%34 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe05b…0912backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+34.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under47c179.73$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.132,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over55c160.44$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.243745.9%17 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over52c134$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6872249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over33c130$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.98516.5%14 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Over20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257838.5%30 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under48c124.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6527748.7%135 W · 142 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa936…3b90backed Under68c110$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.410554.3%57 W · 48 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over46c108.8$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506041.7%25 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under47c105$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe72…cf52backed Under48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+41.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5327227.9%76 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5329751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9921648.6%105 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee4f…c0f0backed Under47c95.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.74580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+40.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Over39c91.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.549929.3%29 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc897…f3b3backed Over53c90.66$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481216.7%2 W · 10 L-4.7wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-68.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013439.6%53 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe015…621fbacked Under48c83.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.464141.5%17 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked Under49c81.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4210846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over41c81.17$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.511,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c64.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7955654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.222259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Over52c60.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.053748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over43c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.589152.9%471 W · 420 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…688abacked Over55c54.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.571540%6 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-39.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over36c53.19$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.125550.2%128 W · 127 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d92…68e8backed Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263450%17 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.518449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518444.6%82 W · 102 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2514431.9%46 W · 98 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535743.1%154 W · 203 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over47c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0631747.6%151 W · 166 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over55c44.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5439052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over55c44.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5111460.5%69 W · 45 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020336.9%75 W · 128 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea6…00f2backed Under47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.552755.6%15 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over55c42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.181,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.814648.6%71 W · 75 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Under46c39.39$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.279230.4%28 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…7412backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205954.2%32 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204553.3%24 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.791,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbec…cac4backed Under49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over53c26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.789053.3%48 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa34…02c5backed Over46c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.132240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Over54c22.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.154153.7%22 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0220143.8%88 W · 113 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1853…68ffbacked Under47c21.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.281346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over54c20.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.