Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e1e1ff05d26754dbb76dcfab1d0f798fedda834a02d344fa268eb483ec92d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 17,281$7,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,372.07 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 56c | 9,009$5,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.5 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 56c | 5,175$2,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,271.28 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 4,166$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222.4 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked Under | 3c | 4,128$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 60 | 15%9 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 24c | 1,875$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…e466backed Under | 1c | 1,841$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 19c | 1,242$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.21 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 76c | 1,234$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.11 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 48c | 541.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.14 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 24c | 412.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 58c | 407.91$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.32 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 27c | 357.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 46c | 326.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.2 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 67c | 298.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 67c | 298.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.63 | 300 | 59.7%179 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 285.93$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.93 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 228.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -12.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Over | 79c | 189.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 43c | 180.64$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 177.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f51…41edbacked Over | 58c | 171.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 168.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 46c | 137.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.65 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 76c | 131.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…e5a9backed Under | 34c | 128.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Over | 27c | 122.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.13 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 119.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 48c | 110$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3279…a922backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 68c | 83.49$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 77c | 74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…77f0backed Under | 25c | 65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 61c | 64.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Under | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8abe…61debacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 35c | 58.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 79c | 55.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…7a89backed Over | 74c | 54.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 45c | 46.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 46c | 43.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4d…6103backed Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…3047backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 77c | 24.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27da…8b6fbacked Over | 77c | 20.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…c817backed Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…3f75backed Over | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 75c | 16.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…68a8backed Over | 74c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5this page
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.