Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd7127ae310109141e8fc415a3be36c040bed780f2ec50f40f8d2a48d65464da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 7,136$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,222.61 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 2,605$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.21 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 31c | 1,000$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 28c | 888.11$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.02 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under | 66c | 282.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Under | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…997ebacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Over | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 32c | 185.65$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 222 | 29.3%65 W · 157 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Over | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 32c | 137.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 353 | 28.6%101 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 69c | 115.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 15c | 94.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 33c | 76.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Under | 71c | 56.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 27c | 44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 40.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 75c | 28.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 74c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 69c | 25.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 46c | 24.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf03d…21fbbacked Under | 77c | 19.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 69c | 16.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked Under | 72c | 16.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.