South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdfe02246fe3bb6c482a787b20a852a887381e17742c064ffbc987e49e51cef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 6,008$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 73c | 3,552$2,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.27 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed3…2811backed Yes | 66c | 3,041$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 14c | 1,532$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 1,234$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.24 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 47c | 804.9$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.76 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 14c | 636.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e9…239bbacked Yes | 32c | 615.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 608.16$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.03 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 77c | 493.34$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 406.92$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…f28dbacked Yes | 79c | 259.18$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…45aabacked Yes | 76c | 256.12$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…a11cbacked Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 74c | 172.61$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Yes | 34c | 168.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.47per pick | 39cpaid | +162.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 33c | 154.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 73c | 149.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 134.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.35 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 132.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…9430backed Yes | 78c | 127.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 71c | 125.74$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 72c | 109.46$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 107.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 79c | 105.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 22c | 104.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9604…3cacbacked Yes | 75c | 82.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 68c | 82.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 80.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04e5…ef89backed Yes | 73c | 77.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 57c | 74.05$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…1958backed Yes | 73c | 68.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed No | 44c | 67.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes | 79c | 62.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 48c | 62.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 162 | 66%107 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Yes | 29c | 55.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 26c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 79c | 50.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…380cbacked Yes | 48c | 44.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 49c | 43.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…dcd7backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 29c | 39.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 67c | 39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 63c | 31.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9b…b739backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…c817backed Yes | 46c | 23.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 44c | 23.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 73c | 22.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Yes | 51c | 19.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 73c | 17.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-05?this page
- Will Club Independiente Petrolero vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-05-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.