MLB · resolved market

San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x471d4b7bdb8dc54d61cc657ac36d7cfd3678f874245bee01edff056baa82fa20

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 2, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $13,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $13,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,389 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Under	76c	3,039$2,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$739.72	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over	28c	2,765$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$766.1	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	51c	1,555$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.94	1,352	50.8%687 W · 665 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd9…648dbacked Over	49c	1,435$703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$703	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	37c	1,305$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.33	9,728	46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L	+32.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Over	11c	1,067$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.58	1,522	34.7%528 W · 994 L	+27.1wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	65c	985.59$638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.52	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Under	80c	873.21$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.71	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	40c	380.57$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.69	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Over	23c	329.82$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.87	335	15.5%52 W · 283 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	62c	327.42$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.27	10,846	51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L	+137.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd65c…9a48backed Over	50c	296$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.18per pick	49cpaid	-41.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	33c	259.76$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.59	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Under	57c	213.56$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.93	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Over	45c	210$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	404	46.5%188 W · 216 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed Over	41c	181.6$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	31c	174.8$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.06	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Under	63c	161.59$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.4	1,367	54.3%742 W · 625 L	+16.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under	78c	149.02$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.92	194	42.3%82 W · 112 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…56ffbacked Under	51c	137.25$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.25	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under	57c	128$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.78	499	42.9%214 W · 285 L	-31.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over	31c	112.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	546	51.3%280 W · 266 L	+29.8wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under	50c	106.78$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.39	1,909	53.5%1,021 W · 888 L	+29.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	35c	106$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.06	327	51.7%169 W · 158 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Under	52c	102.78$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.45	841	40.2%338 W · 503 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	795	43%342 W · 453 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Under	50c	88$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	312	50%156 W · 156 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under	50c	80.79$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.4	2,945	47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	73c	80.44$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.63	825	51.6%426 W · 399 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	58c	80.15$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.84	6,303	48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L	+181.4wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under	55c	80$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	1,777	58.4%1,037 W · 740 L	+91.8wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	69c	66.41$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	524	49%257 W · 267 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	58c	65$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.3	677	42.2%286 W · 391 L	-36.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under	51c	61.83$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.53	1,435	50%717 W · 718 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Under	78c	61$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.42	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under	57c	60.96$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.41	304	54.3%165 W · 139 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,053	47.3%498 W · 555 L	-14.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Under	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe574…1b45backed Over	49c	57.14$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	41c	51.78$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Over	45c	51.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.93	268	54.1%145 W · 123 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Over	50c	50.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.39	1,001	57.3%574 W · 427 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	165	53.3%88 W · 77 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,498	45.3%678 W · 820 L	-8.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	48c	50$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	1,865	52%970 W · 895 L	+50.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1c…0be3backed Under	51c	49.02$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.02	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	40c	42.29$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.73	1,269	47.4%602 W · 667 L	-31.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under	70c	40.16$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.21	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df6…cba0backed Over	39c	39.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.14	1,445	50.3%727 W · 718 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb684…343cbacked Under	52c	38.94$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.69	143	53.1%76 W · 67 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8858…ed3ebacked Over	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	45c	30.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	1,843	43.6%804 W · 1,039 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over	39c	30.05$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.72	1,057	50.2%531 W · 526 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398c…b9d8backed Under	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	151	38.4%58 W · 93 L	-11.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over	49c	27.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under	51c	27.45$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.45	899	50.6%455 W · 444 L	-24.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under	72c	21.69$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.07	208	52.9%110 W · 98 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6526…2c8ebacked Over	50c	20.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.1	50	18%9 W · 41 L	-8.4wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-54%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	174	50.6%88 W · 86 L	-9.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed Under	62c	16.95$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.47	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Under won
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event