Euroleague · resolved market
Shanghai Sharks vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c7b01baaad5ae360117857fda7c2453341c899a01da0ac1958a4cf5b864c7ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Sharksof Shanghai Sharks, Liaoning Flying Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 12c | 8,435$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.94 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 5c | 5,552$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 11c | 4,082$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.03 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 10c | 3,927$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.61 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 10c | 3,784$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 15c | 3,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 3,167$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.34 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 7c | 2,361$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 7c | 2,309$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.9 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 7c | 2,302$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 1,859$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f9…0eaabacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 11c | 1,771$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 16c | 1,071$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.42 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f8…a1afbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 1,040$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 1,033$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.51 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 840.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 7c | 828.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 714.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 15c | 703.11$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.38 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 6c | 700$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.31 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 8c | 598.09$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 441.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 10c | 378.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6742…fdf7backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 252.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…3961backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 220.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8787…d042backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 16c | 219.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 214.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 13c | 214.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d516backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1633…1e55backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 194.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 189.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 10c | 185.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 159.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 158.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 10c | 146.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 14c | 142.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 140.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 17c | 139.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 12c | 134.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 133.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 115.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4679…cd40backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 9c | 113.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 13c | 96.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 19c | 92.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 13c | 91.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 21c | 90.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 12c | 84.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Liaoning Flying Leopards | 15c | 81.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Shanghai Sharks | 80c | 16.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.