Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d0bba88865159a485f61ae43234a91926404920c8b31c46a81bcdb7592e187
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,340
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 27c | 554.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 8c | 533.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 36c | 340.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 38c | 313.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 300.58$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7919…ca3fbacked No | 62c | 291.13$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 23c | 242.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.41 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 46c | 222.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…5c51backed Yes | 72c | 207.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed No | 30c | 183.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…eab7backed No | 73c | 162.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 71cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…9a63backed Yes | 17c | 155.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.93 | 740 | 23.9%177 W · 563 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x120d…5a76backed Yes | 29c | 149.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked No | 68c | 145$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 490 | 38.8%190 W · 300 L | +24.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 29c | 144.24$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…751ebacked No | 50c | 137.91$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.49 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 136.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 60c | 128.58$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f44…c470backed Yes | 35c | 125$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cd…aecdbacked Yes | 75c | 113.93$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 71c | 112.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 25c | 112.56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.42 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…0f11backed Yes | 77c | 105.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 38c | 102.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…2ab9backed No | 51c | 100.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 49c | 94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 35c | 91.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 88.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4425backed No | 72c | 87.58$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f6…6ba1backed Yes | 43c | 83.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 32c | 78.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 76.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe868…6faebacked Yes | 21c | 69.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 68.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 61.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked No | 61c | 61.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 327 | 60.6%198 W · 129 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…ade1backed Yes | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 283 | 29.3%83 W · 200 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 37c | 58.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…8209backed Yes | 57c | 52.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91d…d2ddbacked Yes | 39c | 51.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked No | 63c | 51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…fa84backed Yes | 51c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.01 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 48.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…5a5bbacked No | 58c | 47.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -11.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0408…3d68backed No | 80c | 47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +20.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38ff…1acdbacked No | 44c | 46.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 30c | 45.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…ba43backed Yes | 72c | 43.32$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 58c | 43.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…c2cdbacked Yes | 43c | 41.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5f…867dbacked No | 64c | 37.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…adcbbacked No | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Yes | 79c | 34.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 111 | 72.1%80 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 54c | 34.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Yes | 32c | 33.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…4b88backed No | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb8…89b9backed Yes | 39c | 30.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…d05dbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 56c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…99f3backed No | 79c | 25.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 68c | 25.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed No | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 67c | 22.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d5…9f2abacked Yes | 70c | 20.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…af8bbacked Yes | 75c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc744…955cbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…b4f6backed Yes | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…ab93backed Yes | 73c | 16.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 65c | 15.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.56 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C or below on March 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on March 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on March 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.