TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs HOTU (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof ex-RUBY, HOTU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,867
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,867 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY47c3,256$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,535.85,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed HOTU52c2,462$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,170.637140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-RUBY46c2,385$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.862,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked HOTU53c1,983$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940.264353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed ex-RUBY48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48026054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed HOTU53c949.98$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.4918356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ex-RUBY45c876.16$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.545,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ex-RUBY47c780.74$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.952,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed HOTU53c776.03$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.3817948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked HOTU51c758.03$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4313844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked HOTU63c730.34$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.6422645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf8…94b6backed HOTU55c459.65$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ex-RUBY36c366.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0984958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked ex-RUBY47c314.66$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8927549.5%136 W · 139 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed ex-RUBY46c307.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.011,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked ex-RUBY42c297.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1258324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked HOTU51c291.64$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2829044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed HOTU50c252$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc84…04b2backed HOTU59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.55444.4%24 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed HOTU47c249.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.52,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a70…0519backed ex-RUBY20c204.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038835.6%138 W · 250 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked HOTU51c202.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.462544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed ex-RUBY37c199.31$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7440155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369f…abb5backed HOTU56c198.36$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.233748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed ex-RUBY44c186$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.841,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed HOTU59c179.18$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4612538.4%48 W · 77 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked HOTU57c164.02$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.524,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU64c162.82$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.074,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed ex-RUBY48c156.42$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7583856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed HOTU59c152$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3221949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5900…45ebbacked HOTU61c146.86$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.364856.3%27 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed ex-RUBY24c136.72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.332138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU52c133.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6218750.8%95 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe252…5714backed ex-RUBY42c119.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9923335.2%82 W · 151 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0284…97f6backed ex-RUBY44c109.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.265251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked ex-RUBY37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed ex-RUBY42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4237050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed ex-RUBY37c95.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3615436.4%56 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed HOTU63c92.15$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1530951.5%159 W · 150 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed HOTU54c89$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.991,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ex-RUBY41c84.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8574054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked HOTU74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked HOTU60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3291648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x38b7…cfa7backed ex-RUBY64c80$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.28058.8%47 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY55c77.29$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.676,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed HOTU53c76.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2215351%78 W · 75 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc8…030cbacked ex-RUBY62c72.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.711070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+45.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU56c67.75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.857,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked HOTU56c66.04$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3889248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ee…663bbacked ex-RUBY50c65.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7515044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…211bbacked ex-RUBY48c62.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked HOTU50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3038753.2%206 W · 181 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed ex-RUBY38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1969732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked HOTU56c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9926448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be8…0f50backed HOTU60c49.59$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62560%15 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked HOTU65c49.23$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.231,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…c59abacked ex-RUBY42c46.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59732%31 W · 66 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe728…9d87backed ex-RUBY63c42.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2723150.6%117 W · 114 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed HOTU60c41.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4529455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed ex-RUBY37c40.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.164854.3%352 W · 296 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc435…e961backed HOTU54c40.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.459248.9%45 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed HOTU63c39.94$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7844654.9%245 W · 201 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e6f…7248backed HOTU57c39.64$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.053737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked HOTU58c38.74$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1121653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x96ef…cca4backed ex-RUBY41c36.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1316347.2%77 W · 86 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed HOTU55c36.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.354052.5%21 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a29…836dbacked HOTU57c36.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5610260.8%62 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d6…9523backed ex-RUBY44c34.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153154.8%17 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked HOTU59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.932956.8%187 W · 142 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed ex-RUBY47c32.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.587550.7%38 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked HOTU52c32.29$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.583652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10fc…9f06backed ex-RUBY64c30.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.653860.5%23 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed ex-RUBY37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.132845.1%148 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e09…d784backed ex-RUBY40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed ex-RUBY48c28.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.886253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed HOTU59c26.66$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.933253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+37.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HOTU64c25.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.064,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked HOTU62c25.04$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4133657.1%192 W · 144 L-12.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked HOTU61c19.16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.511646.6%54 W · 62 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c27…21a9backed HOTU60c19.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6723158.4%135 W · 96 L-1.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6700…67c4backed ex-RUBY58c18.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6815351.6%79 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78d7…291dbacked HOTU62c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.465655.4%31 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c7…febcbacked HOTU63c16.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.022755.6%15 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.