CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cd005e52af897ad356fd7d3754af88cc8e6e5e5a23b2bff14d3fb23f1579461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Sashi Esport | 56c | 3,168$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.05 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 54c | 1,375$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.35 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 841.77$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.85 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Sashi Esport | 47c | 812$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.64 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Walczaki | 42c | 787.69$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.12 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Walczaki | 47c | 761.86$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed Sashi Esport | 54c | 756.56$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.54 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Walczaki | 53c | 470$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Walczaki | 42c | 371.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Walczaki | 55c | 365.15$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 319.02$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Walczaki | 49c | 306.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.21 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Sashi Esport | 16c | 305$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 2,520 | 43%1,084 W · 1,436 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Sashi Esport | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Walczaki | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 45c | 276.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.43 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Sashi Esport | 46c | 262.59$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Sashi Esport | 76c | 255.27$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked Walczaki | 45c | 250$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed Walczaki | 46c | 246.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Walczaki | 43c | 228.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 308 | 41.6%128 W · 180 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Sashi Esport | 8c | 223.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Walczaki | 46c | 213.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.55 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Walczaki | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 363 | 46%167 W · 196 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 196.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Walczaki | 51c | 196.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Walczaki | 57c | 195.65$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Sashi Esport | 48c | 188$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sashi Esport | 8c | 177$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Sashi Esport | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked Walczaki | 40c | 165$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Walczaki | 47c | 158$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.74 | 357 | 48.2%172 W · 185 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…60cbbacked Walczaki | 51c | 157$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed Walczaki | 46c | 127.61$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Walczaki | 49c | 125.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Walczaki | 56c | 114$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffa…7710backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 111.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Walczaki | 36c | 98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 2,343 | 46.7%1,094 W · 1,249 L | -49.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Walczaki | 70c | 96.45$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Walczaki | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -9.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 75.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.51 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Walczaki | 44c | 71.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…498abacked Sashi Esport | 45c | 71.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked Sashi Esport | 31c | 63.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Walczaki | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Walczaki | 43c | 46.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285b…df1ebacked Sashi Esport | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Sashi Esport | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Sashi Esport | 46c | 28.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Walczaki | 54c | 25.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 498 | 56.6%282 W · 216 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Walczaki | 78c | 22.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Walczaki | 57c | 21.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Esport | 66c | 21.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Sashi Esport | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Walczaki | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Walczaki | 79c | 17.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 WinnerWalczaki won
- Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Walczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.