CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb195b318801763936a4a4c1d175f543dfadf1b5743c1101fd42bd4bb4e3a720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Walczakiof Walczaki, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Sashi Esport | 61c | 3,071$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.81 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Walczaki | 44c | 1,431$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.89 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sashi Esport | 63c | 1,328$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.11 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Walczaki | 36c | 707.59$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.79 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Walczaki | 41c | 630$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Walczaki | 40c | 556.84$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.24 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Walczaki | 38c | 468.76$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.31 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Walczaki | 28c | 359.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.68 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Walczaki | 58c | 356.4$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.58 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Sashi Esport | 67c | 352.9$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Sashi Esport | 25c | 293$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Walczaki | 32c | 261$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.48 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Sashi Esport | 76c | 250$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sashi Esport | 34c | 206.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Walczaki | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Walczaki | 39c | 196.41$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Walczaki | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Walczaki | 32c | 175$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Sashi Esport | 79c | 132.5$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…6194backed Walczaki | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…05bbbacked Walczaki | 70c | 86.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Walczaki | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Walczaki | 38c | 75.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sashi Esport | 26c | 70.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sashi Esport | 22c | 54.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Walczaki | 67c | 41.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Walczaki | 31c | 40.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Walczaki | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Walczaki | 58c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Walczaki | 75c | 26.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Walczaki | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals PlayoffsWalczaki won
- Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 WinnerWalczaki won
- Map Handicap: SASHI (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5)Walczaki won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.