TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under48c24,745$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,744.8914353.8%77 W · 66 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed Over52c18,563$9,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,603.6130%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c18,486$8,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,915.891,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c12,443$5,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,697.9646247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c10,504$4,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,527.689349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e6…3914backed Over57c10,335$5,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,841.7310463.5%66 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c10,163$4,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,503.0240550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Over53c9,188$4,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,837.75520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdfe…9483backed Over52c8,648$4,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,455.272045%9 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Over51c7,539$3,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,844.835158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over53c6,547$3,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,47011457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over54c5,606$3,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.648859.1%52 W · 36 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c5,576$2,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,843.9778548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over53c4,514$2,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.4413048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1207549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over56c3,960$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,223.5627449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over53c3,263$1,742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,742.3628647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under45c3,200$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76019446.4%90 W · 104 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,739$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.591,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under46c2,593$1,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40031043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over48c2,507$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.1138645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over52c2,318$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.3638650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under45c1,670$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.7641147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over43c1,506$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.150646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under39c1,311$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.6355255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Under49c1,140$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.963351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5306154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb52b…e025backed Over57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over45c799.97$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.9913742.3%58 W · 79 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under47c721.24$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.269445.7%43 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d59…f7e5backed Under50c717.94$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.974852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e7…a315backed Over57c701.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Over53c655.14$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504463.6%28 W · 16 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Over53c655.14$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505560%33 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81a2…2d93backed Over57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over41c570.89$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23632150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Over51c557.1$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.121926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6958…f195backed Over56c553.57$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b16…a497backed Over56c538.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under49c511.99$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.1292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2053158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Over51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2551764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507450%37 W · 37 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under47c477.97$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.458053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over66c454.55$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005863.8%37 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c428.93$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7599548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c400$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.026544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over51c393.71$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2411540%46 W · 69 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc381…e24bbacked Over57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Under40c373.96$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2112661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x70d1…3a20backed Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under45c355$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6526953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under49c352.99$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.8232750.2%164 W · 163 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb72c…abfbbacked Over57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Over52c338.53$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.43955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under43c323.35$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.3937141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under52c298.22$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.068549.4%42 W · 43 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe36d…783ebacked Over69c296.64$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under47c295$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.216450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under47c275.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.2730734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over49c264$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1636750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under46c239.99$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6632346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over48c203.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.313256.8%75 W · 57 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106055%33 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11039947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Over40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809251.1%47 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47f5…37bcbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd4a…8663backed Over56c176.8$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Under43c169.02$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3415741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under47c167.28$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.9332049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over41c148$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7321446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under45c143.46$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.582157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under45c127.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8513649.3%67 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under46c112.5$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7526054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5b…54f5backed Over62c110.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.741338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over47c106.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4132540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over52c105.73$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9874942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over39c100.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5513048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Over53c99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.922365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Under48c98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9613138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e5…6576backed Under45c88.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fb5…3444backed Over53c61.19$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.433256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.69430.9%29 W · 65 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over43c59.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7820340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under44c55.03$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.958962.9%56 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under44c52.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4215453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over51c43.14$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2271245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Over51c42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4215746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under49c39.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0137850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6862…6648backed Over52c38.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Under47c34.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5214450%72 W · 72 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Under59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under44c32.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4624656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6522…3a5abacked Over51c32.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Under44c28.75$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.998939.3%35 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa337…eebbbacked Under47c24.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.973100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.