WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ea166296df5f542c69e67d12d6b9e962f00356d7bac5d0111e1b592ec46315d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 70c | 3,330$2,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.02 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 43c | 3,101$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.36 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 3,033$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.33 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 1,091$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.94 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 929.8$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.46 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 862.06$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.94 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 43c | 462$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 42c | 420.89$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.11 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 298.6$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 57c | 256$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 42c | 252.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 54c | 157$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 48c | 127$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 61c | 120$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 60c | 111$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8513…7d41backed Under | 59c | 89.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f4…3dc9backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 55c | 50.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 41c | 44.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 55c | 41.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 55c | 32.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…c0b1backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4453backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 58c | 18.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 79c | 13.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 175.5this page
- Cameron Brink: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Cameron Brink: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Cameron Brink: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 172.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 173.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.