WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6671a8510ec868dde708908d2a6f0233dc347e0868ed803264d99178331e66fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,794
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,794 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 51c | 10,067$5,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.88 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 51c | 9,001$4,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,591 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 5,353$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 5,122$2,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.7 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 50c | 3,898$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.42 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 3,423$1,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.11 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 3,084$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.6 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 2,345$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.92 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 2,007$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 1,928$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.37 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 1,724$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.65 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 62c | 1,667$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.46 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 45c | 1,546$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.3 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed Over | 50c | 1,026$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 968.15$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Over | 49c | 816.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 806.52$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 797.11$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.56 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 624.28$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.9 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 51c | 568.7$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.66 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 47c | 565$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 300.01$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.75 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 270.33$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.46 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Over | 50c | 242.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.27 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 47c | 193.29$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe73…7d93backed Over | 55c | 171.05$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 51c | 150.88$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 137.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 51c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 122.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 50c | 104.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…c362backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 89.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 82.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Over | 52c | 61.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Over | 54c | 59.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 49c | 47.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Over | 54c | 47.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Over | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Under | 47c | 42.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 40.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 46c | 39.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 53c | 38.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 45c | 37.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Under | 55c | 36.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 49c | 34.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 33.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 50c | 30.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Over | 51c | 28.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 27.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 143 | 45.5%65 W · 78 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Over | 49c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 46c | 24.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Over | 51c | 24.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 52c | 22.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 172.5this page
- Cameron Brink: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Cameron Brink: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Cameron Brink: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 173.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.