WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6dcebb8fb66c107d51313dd08ada0214e8f475a75d67a2b1be77a5dd3e0fb90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Over | 49c | 16,327$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 12,283$6,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.58 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 7,416$3,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.54 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 49c | 5,603$2,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,721.08 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 4,764$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.55 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 2,000$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Under | 52c | 1,415$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.24 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 52c | 1,381$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.95 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 63c | 1,320$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.56 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 1,047$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.63 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 867.68$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.87 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…d002backed Over | 49c | 816.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.98 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 612.24$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 49c | 592.47$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.11 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 50c | 572$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 535.21$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.89 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 511.99$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.76 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 53c | 495.86$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.57 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 45c | 367.49$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.24 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 51c | 320.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.29 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.69 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 49c | 218$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Over | 49c | 174.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 157.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…efe7backed Under | 53c | 150.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.87 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef8…da63backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 51c | 86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over | 49c | 83.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1141…7aa2backed Over | 49c | 79.47$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…482ebacked Over | 51c | 73.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 51c | 71.29$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Under | 49c | 68.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 51c | 67.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Over | 49c | 61.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 53.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…1676backed Over | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 49cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Over | 49c | 34.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 48c | 34.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Over | 42c | 29.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 51c | 29.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…5d31backed Under | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 173.5this page
- Cameron Brink: Points O/U 7.5No won
- Cameron Brink: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Cameron Brink: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 171.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 172.5Under won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Washington Mystics (-6.5)Washington Mystics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.