Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fe93423d68e8b8047fcd21a269cb8efca41d8c37191fb683615450633d8871e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, ex-HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 23,288$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.69 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 16,667$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.52 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked ex-HEROIC | 13c | 5,500$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.16 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 3,174$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.77 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked ex-HEROIC | 12c | 3,050$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked ex-HEROIC | 13c | 3,041$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked ex-HEROIC | 15c | 2,031$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.59 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked ex-HEROIC | 14c | 1,618$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.51 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ex-HEROIC | 12c | 1,557$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.26 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 1,336$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 1,325$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 1,325$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.58 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked ex-HEROIC | 12c | 1,159$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked ex-HEROIC | 15c | 999.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed ex-HEROIC | 19c | 994.04$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 7c | 930$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed ex-HEROIC | 16c | 899$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 750$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed ex-HEROIC | 9c | 596.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56b…2c03backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…ff77backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed ex-HEROIC | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked ex-HEROIC | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…ef7cbacked ex-HEROIC | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c4…0216backed ex-HEROIC | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 499.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 489.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…5521backed ex-HEROIC | 10c | 479.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked ex-HEROIC | 7c | 444.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed ex-HEROIC | 12c | 390$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked ex-HEROIC | 11c | 360.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 353.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.97 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 309.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed ex-HEROIC | 10c | 306$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 277$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed ex-HEROIC | 10c | 274.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…2acabacked ex-HEROIC | 13c | 253.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 225.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…9a41backed ex-HEROIC | 13c | 170.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xced6…2dc1backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 122$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…6c0cbacked ex-HEROIC | 12c | 121$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 119.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed ex-HEROIC | 10c | 100.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed ex-HEROIC | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 97.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked ex-HEROIC | 12c | 86.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 71.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62b7…f260backed ex-HEROIC | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 207 | 35.3%73 W · 134 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.