Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76bdba20de216a0d14d3c602e56f669c330a9a646f064136e69755b1b20b300a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, ex-HEROIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $218,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed ex-HEROIC | 24c | 8,345$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 7,064$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.04 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…2065backed Team Spirit | 69c | 6,352$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Spirit | 69c | 5,709$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.75 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-HEROIC | 31c | 5,667$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,742 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Spirit | 75c | 4,209$3,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.67 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 3,833$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.09 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-HEROIC | 26c | 3,800$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked ex-HEROIC | 25c | 2,936$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.74 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked ex-HEROIC | 41c | 2,804$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.05 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked ex-HEROIC | 26c | 2,616$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.69 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 2,568$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.26 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 2,550$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.3 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ex-HEROIC | 20c | 2,517$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.22 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked ex-HEROIC | 30c | 2,075$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.79 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Team Spirit | 80c | 1,800$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.67 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Spirit | 79c | 1,795$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.9 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,750$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit | 70c | 1,667$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.19 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 1,383$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.24 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,331$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.83 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,319$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.98 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed ex-HEROIC | 18c | 1,205$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.75 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 1,081$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.25 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 71c | 1,053$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a9…3bb6backed ex-HEROIC | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed ex-HEROIC | 26c | 1,023$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.9 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed ex-HEROIC | 27c | 1,006$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.68 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit | 73c | 1,001$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 978.13$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.63 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 915.25$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.76 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked ex-HEROIC | 31c | 908$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.4 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-HEROIC | 26c | 809.75$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-HEROIC | 28c | 779.47$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.48 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Spirit | 60c | 720.85$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.76 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-HEROIC | 25c | 706.39$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked ex-HEROIC | 18c | 687.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 74c | 662.08$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Team Spirit | 75c | 659.31$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Spirit | 73c | 631.31$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Spirit | 68c | 620.21$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.53 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa949…7f5bbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 607.69$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.69 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ex-HEROIC | 26c | 607.1$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked ex-HEROIC | 22c | 550.26$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.06 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked ex-HEROIC | 37c | 549.95$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.37 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Team Spirit | 52c | 540.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.48 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +31.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed ex-HEROIC | 47c | 522.6$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.68 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed ex-HEROIC | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Team Spirit | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed ex-HEROIC | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Spirit | 62c | 483.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-HEROIC | 25c | 475.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed ex-HEROIC | 3c | 450$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed ex-HEROIC | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Team Spirit | 76c | 396.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed Team Spirit | 71c | 386.14$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.86 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…e194backed ex-HEROIC | 27c | 374.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 361.29$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed ex-HEROIC | 23c | 318$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 305.21$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Spirit | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed ex-HEROIC | 28c | 299.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-HEROIC | 27c | 283.73$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Spirit | 61c | 277.91$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ex-HEROIC | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 249.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked ex-HEROIC | 26c | 242.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Team Spirit | 67c | 237.94$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked ex-HEROIC | 29c | 234.08$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.04 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked ex-HEROIC | 24c | 206.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed ex-HEROIC | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked ex-HEROIC | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-HEROIC | 24c | 198$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 188$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 187.69$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed ex-HEROIC | 36c | 168.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed ex-HEROIC | 14c | 164.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed ex-HEROIC | 17c | 159.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 155$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked ex-HEROIC | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked ex-HEROIC | 40c | 147.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.57 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Spirit | 73c | 144.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Team Spirit | 75c | 131.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa6…dbd6backed Team Spirit | 62c | 130.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 229 | 61.1%140 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Spirit | 52c | 126.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-HEROIC | 16c | 122.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 70c | 119.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed ex-HEROIC | 10c | 119.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Team Spirit | 74c | 110.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 109.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Spirit | 69c | 106.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…0f32backed ex-HEROIC | 24c | 105.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked Team Spirit | 65c | 104.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 193 | 52.3%101 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed ex-HEROIC | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Team Spirit | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed ex-HEROIC | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group ATeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs ex-HEROIC (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.