Other European Leagues · resolved market
Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860bc7d15fca31f4c17a3094e27f4339fe61bc130b7e214b264f4d96968adce3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,958
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,958 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 51c | 3,967$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.2 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 3,550$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.5 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Under | 51c | 2,234$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Under | 51c | 2,217$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 49c | 2,085$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.2 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 49c | 2,040$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.4 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 52c | 1,855$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.29 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,379$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.64 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 49c | 1,184$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.16 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 49c | 920$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.8 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 52c | 774.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.68 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 349.92$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.99 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 45c | 340$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 50c | 324.68$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.63 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69c…890ebacked Over | 46c | 183.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 120.98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 19c | 107.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 87.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 63.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 49c | 54.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 48c | 51.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 51c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 48c | 28.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 49c | 24.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 2.5this page
- Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 0.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5Under won
- Moreirense FC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Moreirense FC (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.