South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7744dcde826602dacaa6ec0462c4c41cc96b4b66290423c32755648d6691267
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CS Cristalof Red Bull Bragantino, CS Cristal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ad7…42aabacked Red Bull Bragantino | 53c | 152,876$80,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,809.41 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed CS Cristal | 47c | 51,235$24,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,203.34 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CS Cristal | 47c | 26,569$12,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,081.81 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 21,227$9,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,250.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc1…bdd8backed Red Bull Bragantino | 55c | 18,210$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 10,710$5,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,676.3 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed CS Cristal | 46c | 10,485$4,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,624.54 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 10,250$4,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,432.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed CS Cristal | 45c | 7,598$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.04 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8343backed CS Cristal | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,975 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 6,090$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.7 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed CS Cristal | 47c | 3,112$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.5 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed CS Cristal | 45c | 2,856$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.43 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked CS Cristal | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.68 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked CS Cristal | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.09 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed CS Cristal | 48c | 1,867$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.31 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked CS Cristal | 48c | 1,720$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed CS Cristal | 45c | 1,400$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.53 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked CS Cristal | 50c | 1,298$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.91 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…3accbacked Red Bull Bragantino | 54c | 1,279$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CS Cristal | 52c | 1,236$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed CS Cristal | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked CS Cristal | 48c | 1,136$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.52 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CS Cristal | 48c | 1,136$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.52 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf636…5465backed CS Cristal | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Red Bull Bragantino | 29c | 1,015$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CS Cristal | 47c | 1,008$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.06 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed Red Bull Bragantino | 49c | 849.25$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.08 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked CS Cristal | 46c | 821.76$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked CS Cristal | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CS Cristal | 56c | 766.04$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.77 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfe…9483backed CS Cristal | 47c | 718.48$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Red Bull Bragantino | 53c | 592.85$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.97 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CS Cristal | 47c | 568$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CS Cristal | 49c | 422.93$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Red Bull Bragantino | 50c | 406.29$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.15 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Red Bull Bragantino | 51c | 400.36$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…5478backed CS Cristal | 46c | 369.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.05 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 355.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.09 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4d…448fbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 340.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.89 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed CS Cristal | 47c | 261.89$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.39 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed CS Cristal | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Red Bull Bragantino | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed CS Cristal | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Red Bull Bragantino | 51c | 123.72$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 121.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CS Cristal | 48c | 119.57$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…01c9backed Red Bull Bragantino | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CS Cristal | 46c | 99.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed CS Cristal | 47c | 89.61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed CS Cristal | 47c | 88.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked CS Cristal | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…3afdbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed CS Cristal | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked CS Cristal | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed CS Cristal | 47c | 44.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked CS Cristal | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Red Bull Bragantino | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…7192backed Red Bull Bragantino | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…fa96backed CS Cristal | 47c | 32.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed CS Cristal | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CS Cristal | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked CS Cristal | 47c | 30.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Red Bull Bragantino | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Red Bull Bragantino | 43c | 29.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…50d4backed CS Cristal | 39c | 28.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed CS Cristal | 48c | 26.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked CS Cristal | 46c | 25.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed CS Cristal | 47c | 25.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked CS Cristal | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)CS Cristal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.