South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8aa78f5ccb77356da093c2cc66c974cef9006e7fd1a130adc3685b412a05680
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Under | 49c | 1,622$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.86 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 48c | 1,131$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.57 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 763.05$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.44 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 45c | 600$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 6c | 425.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 64c | 374.75$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 27c | 357.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 57c | 312.05$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 66c | 300$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.7 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 47c | 285.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 41c | 242.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.52 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 224.84$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 68c | 151.8$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 60c | 137.27$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Under | 71c | 121.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 39c | 120.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 49c | 110.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 54c | 104$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.19 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 49c | 91.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 52c | 77.63$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 61c | 60.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 56.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Under | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 48.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 30c | 41.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb9…4718backed Over | 75c | 40.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 51c | 31.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 69c | 31.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 68c | 29.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 73c | 20.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 63 | 25.4%16 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 75c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CS Cristal won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)CS Cristal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.