South American Leagues · resolved market
Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d066228b116323170fc536fc1c9cf83e5d47b65e2877a3447a6341b030394d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Over | 52c | 4,614$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.56 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 3,027$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 34c | 2,803$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.78 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Under | 78c | 1,818$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 1,697$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.06 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 32c | 1,538$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.22 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 1,512$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.6 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 48c | 1,386$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.61 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 38c | 770.25$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.58 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 563.46$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.09 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 410$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.2 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Under | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 103 | 64.1%66 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 20c | 299.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 72c | 268$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 63c | 203.85$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 191.41$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 68c | 189.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Under | 69c | 143.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 32c | 125.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 62c | 95.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 62c | 93.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 39c | 80.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 61c | 73.26$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 51.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Under | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 58c | 48.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 67c | 42.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 69c | 42.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 39c | 39.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 52c | 36.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 39c | 34.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e7…6716backed Under | 48c | 30.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 60c | 27.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 53%123 W · 109 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 61c | 23.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5this page
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal O/U 0.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: CS Cristal O/U 2.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 0.5Over won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 1.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 4.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Bull Bragantino vs. CS Cristal: Red Bull Bragantino O/U 0.5Over won
- Spread: CS Cristal (-1.5)Red Bull Bragantino won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)CS Cristal won
- Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5)CS Cristal won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.