CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group A

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88190608dde73163e44d9d72fcc24a528e014685ac2ac838fd8109da891f08e8

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: GenOneof GenOne, MANA eSports
Resolved: May 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,496
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,496 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne	67c	11,799$7,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,837.47	5,050	55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L	+117.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed GenOne	67c	5,047$3,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,655.78	2,624	51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MANA eSports	18c	2,651$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.15	512	52.3%268 W · 244 L	+16.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed MANA eSports	32c	2,288$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.76	107	35.5%38 W · 69 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed MANA eSports	32c	2,250$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.98	1,411	33.7%475 W · 936 L	+42.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked MANA eSports	33c	1,441$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$475.53	25	44%11 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed MANA eSports	34c	1,377$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$468.03	114	35.1%40 W · 74 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked GenOne	73c	1,308$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$357.9	2,349	42.5%998 W · 1,351 L	-72.7wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed MANA eSports	32c	1,095$347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.97	809	42.3%342 W · 467 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed MANA eSports	32c	1,039$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.36	43	25.6%11 W · 32 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed GenOne	68c	1,036$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.62	2,009	53.9%1,082 W · 927 L	+7.6wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked MANA eSports	33c	999.99$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325	558	43.5%243 W · 315 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked MANA eSports	33c	999.97$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.99	215	36.3%78 W · 137 L	-11.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked MANA eSports	32c	965.3$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.9	226	45.1%102 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports	32c	939.99$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.8	5,830	37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L	+79.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed GenOne	68c	836.25$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.6	849	58.3%495 W · 354 L	+60.4wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked GenOne	70c	812.92$569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.27	275	52%143 W · 132 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked GenOne	77c	653.64$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.19	664	46.4%308 W · 356 L	-11.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MANA eSports	32c	649.18$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.45	2,328	51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L	+92.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb66…c8dfbacked MANA eSports	32c	629.99$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.6	84	45.2%38 W · 46 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed MANA eSports	33c	565$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.45	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed MANA eSports	31c	554.68$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.68	336	27.7%93 W · 243 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports	35c	512$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.4	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed MANA eSports	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	287	38%109 W · 178 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports	18c	473$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.24	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked MANA eSports	14c	469.23$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.37	169	20.1%34 W · 135 L	-16.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked MANA eSports	31c	456.24$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.52	483	19%92 W · 391 L	-65.4wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-46.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports	27c	443.11$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.44	2,622	47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L	-33.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed MANA eSports	31c	429$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed MANA eSports	33c	409.09$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	593	43.2%256 W · 337 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed MANA eSports	33c	399.95$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.98	499	35.1%175 W · 324 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed MANA eSports	32c	364.29$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.09	4,064	50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L	+69.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed GenOne	74c	338.08$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.4	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed MANA eSports	30c	309.61$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.36	991	48.3%479 W · 512 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed GenOne	69c	308$214 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.09	486	35.4%172 W · 314 L	-18.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd273…9a33backed MANA eSports	30c	308$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.4	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed MANA eSports	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed MANA eSports	34c	288.24$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	179	48%86 W · 93 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed MANA eSports	8c	273$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.55	1,579	29.7%469 W · 1,110 L	-86.9wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed GenOne	80c	248.69$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.21	118	63.6%75 W · 43 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports	8c	246.94$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed MANA eSports	33c	231.24$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.31	399	46.4%185 W · 214 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked GenOne	67c	216$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.99	1,848	41.7%770 W · 1,078 L	-69.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed GenOne	68c	205.88$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.88	1,620	52.7%853 W · 767 L	+57.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed MANA eSports	35c	200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	807	40.3%325 W · 482 L	-3.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed MANA eSports	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1,038	39.9%414 W · 624 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed MANA eSports	35c	199.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	2,522	43%1,085 W · 1,437 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MANA eSports	20c	198$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.39	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed MANA eSports	11c	180$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	2,626	30.9%812 W · 1,814 L	-105.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed MANA eSports	36c	179.8$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.73	367	49.3%181 W · 186 L	-11.3wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked MANA eSports	27c	157.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.23	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5df…be66backed MANA eSports	32c	152$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.64	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf8…94b6backed MANA eSports	32c	134.73$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.11	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked MANA eSports	28c	127.25$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.84	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed MANA eSports	28c	125$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	1,046	45%471 W · 575 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed MANA eSports	32c	120$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	456	45.2%206 W · 250 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed MANA eSports	12c	118.68$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.09	154	36.4%56 W · 98 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked MANA eSports	36c	107.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed MANA eSports	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	659	46.6%307 W · 352 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked MANA eSports	31c	100$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	262	46.9%123 W · 139 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed MANA eSports	32c	100$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	331	46.5%154 W · 177 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed GenOne	69c	94.16$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.19	648	54.3%352 W · 296 L	+25.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed GenOne	80c	92.58$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.69	640	46.3%296 W · 344 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed GenOne	69c	90.3$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	2,434	44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L	-64.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3d…58f5backed GenOne	68c	90.19$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.2	378	55.3%209 W · 169 L	+5.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed GenOne	69c	88.68$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.49	838	56.1%470 W · 368 L	+31.1wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked MANA eSports	32c	80$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.29	919	45.8%421 W · 498 L	-10.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed GenOne	78c	78.61$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.52	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed MANA eSports	31c	74$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.94	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+11.6wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+40.6%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked MANA eSports	30c	69.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked GenOne	68c	66.94$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.42	336	57.1%192 W · 144 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e0…c59bbacked MANA eSports	33c	60.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked GenOne	69c	60$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.6	1,779	59.1%1,052 W · 727 L	+104.8wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed GenOne	68c	58.58$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.89	62	53.2%33 W · 29 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed GenOne	68c	57.5$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	220	59.1%130 W · 90 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked MANA eSports	31c	56.09$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	1,630	43.2%704 W · 926 L	-32.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed GenOne	67c	49$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.01	500	56.6%283 W · 217 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked GenOne	71c	46.48$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	446	75.3%336 W · 110 L	+10.9wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked MANA eSports	26c	41.17$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	3,459	29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L	-279.9wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed MANA eSports	32c	38.57$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.15	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed GenOne	68c	30.36$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	190	52.6%100 W · 90 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0550…39e0backed MANA eSports	38c	27$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed GenOne	62c	27$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.26	384	52.3%201 W · 183 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcdd…0ecdbacked GenOne	66c	22.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.73	329	56.8%187 W · 142 L	-13.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GenOne	57c	18.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.93	1,848	47.6%879 W · 969 L	-55.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbbf…388ebacked GenOne	74c	18.24$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.68	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4427…d7a8backed GenOne	79c	15.12$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.12	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	66cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Athis page
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports - Map 2 WinnerGenOne won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group A

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event