CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ed81a60e20386474ca10012bf2d0bfc82a782b9479a21ef459e0d2fba52142c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GenOneof GenOne, MANA eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,466
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GenOne | 65c | 1,153$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.73 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MANA eSports | 40c | 528.78$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed MANA eSports | 35c | 459.61$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.27 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked GenOne | 61c | 441.93$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MANA eSports | 31c | 424.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.53 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GenOne | 56c | 419$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked GenOne | 63c | 384.2$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MANA eSports | 53c | 374.23$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed GenOne | 73c | 328.33$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed MANA eSports | 51c | 258.39$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked GenOne | 52c | 208.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.92 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GenOne | 72c | 180.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MANA eSports | 37c | 157.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c7…620cbacked GenOne | 62c | 151.94$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.94 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MANA eSports | 49c | 143$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.64 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…210ebacked MANA eSports | 50c | 141.14$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.57 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MANA eSports | 36c | 127.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked MANA eSports | 33c | 121.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed MANA eSports | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed MANA eSports | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed MANA eSports | 16c | 86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked MANA eSports | 37c | 84.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.34 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MANA eSports | 45c | 72.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed GenOne | 47c | 68.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MANA eSports | 35c | 61.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MANA eSports | 43c | 58.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed MANA eSports | 38c | 49.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MANA eSports | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed MANA eSports | 45c | 25.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked GenOne | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed GenOne | 64c | 16.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked GenOne | 74c | 13.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group AGenOne won
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs MANA eSports - Map 1 WinnerGenOne won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.