South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f81f4b90d5a13360fd3aacdc762eebcfffe84306f8eaad790cda0e937795971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Under | 43c | 22,922$9,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,856.44 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 57c | 20,007$11,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,603.01 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 43c | 4,000$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.99 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 33c | 3,076$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.5 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 2,721$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.31 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Over | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 57c | 2,261$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.23 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 44c | 2,170$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.72 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 1,528$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.34 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 33c | 1,463$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.75 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 65c | 1,217$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.76 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under | 50c | 851.94$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.97 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Under | 44c | 800$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 46c | 695.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Under | 44c | 649.34$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 564$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 56c | 537.39$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.45 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 12c | 511.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 59c | 506.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.97 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 70c | 418.19$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 59c | 383.12$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 14c | 368.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 51c | 366.85$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.65 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 63c | 359.24$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 56c | 350.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 328.59$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.44 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 308.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 53c | 280$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 66c | 239.25$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 56c | 219.97$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.79 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 57c | 175.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…6b58backed Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 147.73$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 673 | 37.1%250 W · 423 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Over | 57c | 147.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over | 73c | 136.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 56c | 117$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 35c | 89.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 35c | 87.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…6d36backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 56c | 81.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 44c | 73.17$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 68c | 66.74$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 19c | 65.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Under | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…c45ebacked Over | 57c | 54.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…6e9bbacked Under | 51c | 52.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 57c | 52.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c8…20d5backed Over | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Under | 51c | 46.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Under | 27c | 41.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 57c | 40.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 69c | 38.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 416 | 62%258 W · 158 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Over | 77c | 35.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 722 | 58.6%423 W · 299 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb67a…340bbacked Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 57c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 63c | 22.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 632 | 61.2%387 W · 245 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 66c | 22.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Over | 73c | 21.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 58c | 19.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 57c | 19.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.