TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Club Pueblaof CF Pachuca, Club Puebla
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,300 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x70a6…a2ebbacked Club Puebla65c6,277$4,069 inWon+$2,208.073557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked CF Pachuca7c5,199$369 inLost-$369.326131.1%19 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed CF Pachuca33c971.07$319 inLost-$318.92,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked CF Pachuca31c871.78$268 inLost-$268.465,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CF Pachuca34c863.08$296 inLost-$296.278,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked CF Pachuca36c815$294 inLost-$293.6249136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Club Puebla66c757.58$500 inWon+$257.582751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed CF Pachuca35c680.29$238 inLost-$238.11,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Puebla72c513.56$367 inWon+$146.192,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Club Puebla67c447$299 inWon+$147.511553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Club Puebla65c307.69$200 inWon+$107.6933152.6%174 W · 157 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed CF Pachuca36c301.24$109 inLost-$108.851,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed CF Pachuca36c277.99$100 inLost-$100.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed CF Pachuca38c264.48$100 inLost-$100933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked CF Pachuca32c240.22$77 inLost-$76.871,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked Club Puebla68c240.22$163 inWon+$76.871662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Club Puebla62c234.05$145 inWon+$88.9434747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked Club Puebla65c211.49$137 inWon+$74.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed CF Pachuca33c104.26$35 inLost-$34.8825635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76f…39fcbacked CF Pachuca37c81.08$30 inLost-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc96…2791backed Club Puebla64c78.13$50 inWon+$28.131844.4%8 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5ad…cdfdbacked Club Puebla64c76.12$49 inWon+$27.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed CF Pachuca36c74.93$27 inLost-$27.0118247.8%87 W · 95 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked CF Pachuca36c69.44$25 inLost-$2515057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked CF Pachuca39c66$26 inLost-$25.748930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Club Puebla63c61$38 inWon+$22.5738233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed CF Pachuca37c61$23 inLost-$22.5728851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd9…5d16backed Club Puebla65c50$33 inWon+$17.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick31cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed CF Pachuca37c41.76$16 inLost-$15.6569453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Club Puebla63c36.99$23 inWon+$13.692,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Club Puebla80c27.29$22 inWon+$5.571,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Club Puebla61c25.5$16 inWon+$9.958863.6%56 W · 32 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Club Puebla67c20$13 inWon+$6.689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Club Puebla54c20$11 inWon+$9.232139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Club Puebla64c18$12 inWon+$6.4818050%90 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.