South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b1efd6b676f421ee9efffa6858d3e5ce95fe94fb27731cd03f6ea595cac737c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 23,804$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,726.45 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 11c | 7,730$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.88 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 10c | 6,962$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.46 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 10c | 4,564$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.8 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 8c | 3,458$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.79 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 1,643$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.41 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…3598backed Over | 8c | 1,148$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 78c | 548.25$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Over | 4c | 541.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 20c | 517.17$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 5c | 404.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…7f2abacked Over | 6c | 340.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 18c | 244.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 11c | 241.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 15c | 201.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 194.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 11c | 181.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Over | 13c | 180.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 23c | 165.22$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 7c | 149.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…56ebbacked Over | 28c | 142.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 23c | 102.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 77c | 92.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 76c | 65.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…bd81backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 21c | 48.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Under | 78c | 42.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.